rivomarkets

true.fate

+$4.9K
Tracked Trades
156
First Seen
Dec 25, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 9, 2026
Followers
3

true.fate is a Kalshi trader with 156 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 19 wins and 27 losses on settled markets, $4.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Jessica Pegula wins on Sep 9.

Win rate
41%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$129.3K
Typical trade
$285
Copy score
24/100
Kalshi rank
#1,124

Profit over time

+$6.0K-$1.7K
Dec 25Sep 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢407%25%+18 pts
20 to 40¢4129%42%+13 pts
40 to 60¢3150%44%-5 pts
60 to 80¢4069%50%-19 pts
Over 80¢483%0%-83 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $603911%-$118
$65 to $2853925%+$1.9K
$285 to $9603950%+$2.8K
$962 to $7.6K3962%+$211

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1088%+$4.7K
Culture1100%+$2.3K

Side taken

Yes 76%24% No

If you had copied true.fate

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1086
Profit
on $4000 staked
15-25
Record
38% win rate
-27%
Return
27 still open
Profit over time40 settled trades
+$0-$1.3K
Jun 22Sep 7
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.57×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $2.5K lost
-8.6 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 46¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
24 trades

By category

sports8 settled+72%
other31 settled-58%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

17 open positions worth $50.7K

The markets true.fate is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what true.fate is holding

Recent positions

Jessica Pegula wins
Sep 9, avg 46¢
BUYYES$1.9K+$2.3K
Zizou Bergs wins
Sep 6, avg 70¢
BUYYES$2.9K-$2.9K
Daniel Merida wins
Sep 4, avg 31¢
BUYYES$441-$441
See every position across 67 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Flavio Cobolli wins
    $1.9K on Yes, Sep 1
    +$3.3K
  2. 2
    Ecuador vs Curacao Winner?
    $567 on Yes, Jun 21
    +$3.2K
  3. 3
    Australia vs Egypt: To Advance
    $4.4K on Yes, Jul 3
    +$2.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Morocco vs Haiti Winner?7+$0
Turkiye vs USA Winner?3+$0
Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance3+$0
Andrey Rublev wins3100%+$2.5K
Portugal vs Congo DR Winner?4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 12Sep 9

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$461
Jan 2026-$685
Jun 2026+$501
Jul 2026-$947
Aug 2026+$1.8K
Sep 2026+$3.8K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy true.fate on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.