rivomarkets
Kalshi

valuable.sawfish8231

+$1.1K
Tracked Trades
1,001
First Seen
Sep 7, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
555

valuable.sawfish8231 is a Kalshi trader with 1,001 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 128 wins and 456 losses on settled markets, $1.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 19.

Win rate
22%
Return on settled
+19%
Money traded
$22.4K
Typical trade
$9
Copy score
19/100
Kalshi rank
#2,097

Profit over time

+$1.2K-$1.0K
Sep 7Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5165%7%+2 pts
20 to 40¢22729%17%-12 pts
40 to 60¢10548%39%-8 pts
60 to 80¢3766%78%+11 pts
Over 80¢11697%100%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125122%+$18
$1 to $925017%-$43
$9 to $1825019%-$359
$18 to $4.4K25032%+$1.5K

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied valuable.sawfish8231

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$10538
Profit
on $58400 staked
128-456
Record
22% win rate
+18%
Return
227 still open
Profit over time584 settled trades
+$10.5K+$0
Sep 7Sep 14
-$20.1K
Max drawdown
70% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.23×
Profit factor
$56.1K won vs $45.6K lost
-3.8 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 26¢ avg
Longest losing streak
42
Deepest drawdown
405 trades

By category

other584 settled+18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

148 open positions worth $3.3K

The markets valuable.sawfish8231 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what valuable.sawfish8231 is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 19, avg 80¢
SELLNO$4.4KOpen
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 19, avg 92¢
SELLNO$2.3KOpen
no Cincinnati -1.5 first 5 innings,no Kansas City -2.5 first 5 innings,no Baltimore -1.5 first 5 innings,no A's -1.5 first 5 innings,no Toronto -2.5 first 5 innings,no Colorado -2.5 first 5 innings,no St. Louis -2.5 first 5 innings,no Minnesota -2.5 first 5 innings,no Miami -2.5 first 5 innings,no San Francisco -1.5 first 5 innings,no Cincinnati over 7.5 runs scored,no Kansas City over 7.5 runs scored,no Baltimore over 6.5 runs scored,no A's over 5.5 runs scored,no Boston over 5.5 runs scored,no Toronto over 6.5 runs scored,no Colorado over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 6.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 5.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored
Sep 18, 2 fills, avg 0¢
BUYYES$19-$19
See every position across 412 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Alex Barrena,yes Marco Trungelliti,yes Pavel Kotov,yes Alejandro Moro Canas,yes Marat Sharipov,yes Noemi Basiletti,yes Gabriela Knutson
    $56 on Yes, Sep 18
    +$1.6K
  2. 2
    yes Matisse Bobichon,yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Borna Gojo,yes Pavel Lagutin,yes Oriol Roca Batalla,yes Luka Mikrut,yes Bernard Tomic
    $84 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $9 on No, Sep 8
    +$330
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?68624%-$1.1K
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0
yes Los Angeles C,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Jacksonville,yes New Orleans,yes Denver30%-$37
yes Kansas City,yes Seattle,yes Texas3+$0
yes Kenta Miyoshi (b. 2004),yes Pavel Lagutin,yes Daniel Masur,yes Lloyd Harris,yes Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez,yes Max Schoenhaus,yes James Kent Trotter6+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.1K

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