rivomarkets

vicarious.walrus

+$246
Tracked Trades
724
First Seen
Oct 10, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
86

vicarious.walrus is a Kalshi trader with 724 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 16 wins and 24 losses on settled markets, $246 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? on Sep 19.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$232.7K

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$220
Jan 30Mar 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2017%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢5729%0%-29 pts
40 to 60¢23150%0%-50 pts
60 to 80¢9867%
Over 80¢13790%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $518114%-$14
$5 to $211819%-$81
$21 to $10518133%-$378
$108 to $24K18185%+$719

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture4+$0

Side taken

Yes 52%48% No

If you had copied vicarious.walrus

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

No trade from the last 90 days has resolved yet. 8 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

5 open positions worth $6.2K

The markets vicarious.walrus is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what vicarious.walrus is holding

Recent positions

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
Sep 19, avg 85¢
SELLNO$3.4KOpen
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027?
Sep 17, 2 fills, avg 74¢
SELLNO$3.5KOpen
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027?
Sep 17, 2 fills, avg 82¢
SELLNO$3Open
See every position across 34 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the government be shut down on January 31?
    $17.1K on Yes, Jan 31
    +$880
  2. 2
    Will Anthropic run an ad during the Big Game 2026?
    $5.7K on No, Feb 9
    +$424
  3. 3
    Will Ali Khamenei leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z?
    $5.3K on No, Jan 31
    +$56
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Ali Khamenei leave office before 2026-03-01T15:00:00.000Z?88+$0
Will the government be shut down on January 31?975%+$610
Will Ali Khamenei leave Supreme Leader of Iran before Jan 1, 2027?95+$0
Who will perform at the Super Bowl LX?94+$0
Will Anthropic run an ad during the Big Game 2026?57100%+$424

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$655
Feb 2026+$424
Mar 2026-$834

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy vicarious.walrus on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.