rivomarkets
Kalshi

watcher.now

+$23
Tracked Trades
264
First Seen
Nov 5, 2024
Last Trade
Sep 14, 2026
Followers
1

watcher.now is a Kalshi trader with 264 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 5 wins and 10 losses on settled markets, $23 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms? on Sep 14.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$16.9K

Profit over time

+$66-$14
Dec 10Apr 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢7910%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢5128%25%-3 pts
40 to 60¢2252%100%+48 pts
60 to 80¢7667%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢3687%0%-87 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3660%-$1
$3 to $96625%-$4
$9 to $326633%-$3
$33 to $2.5K66100%+$32

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Politics1+$0

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied watcher.now

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

No trade from the last 90 days has resolved yet. 1 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $2.5K

The markets watcher.now is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what watcher.now is holding

Recent positions

Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Sep 14, avg 60¢
BUYNO$2.5KOpen
Will Chris Wright leaves Secretary of Energy in before 2027?
May 5, 3 fills, avg 40¢
SELLYES$54Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026?
May 5, avg 67¢
SELLNO$488Open
See every position across 101 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?
    $19 on No, Feb 25
    +$51
  2. 2
    What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?
    $39 on Yes, Feb 25
    +$32
  3. 3
    What will Donald Trump say during 2026 State of the Union?
    $28 on Yes, Feb 25
    +$28
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?7+$0
Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?1+$0
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Iowa?13+$0
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Texas?4+$0
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before July 1, 2026?11+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 17Sep 14

Profit by month

Dec 2025-$5
Feb 2026+$71
Mar 2026-$1
Apr 2026-$42

Similar Kalshi traders

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.

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