Polymarketfivethirty
0x2e6cbf2564cc6b9702d79dad46279c2865710c51
+$73.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 152
- First Seen
- Sep 13, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 16, 2026
fivethirty is a Polymarket trader with 152 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 21 wins and 14 losses on settled markets, $73.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Valencia: Maria Garcia Cid vs Yasmine Kabbaj on Sep 16.
- Win rate
- 60%
- Return on settled
- +11%
- Money traded
- $2.0M
- Typical trade
- $8.2K
- Copy score
- 44/100
- Polymarket rank
- #235
Profit over time
+$119.6K+$0
Sep 13Sep 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3510%33%+23 pts
20 to 40¢2034%25%-9 pts
40 to 60¢2650%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢1871%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢5385%100%+15 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$538 to $1.4K3833%-$3.1K
$1.4K to $8.0K3840%+$7.1K
$8.4K to $20K38100%+$78.4K
$21K to $70K3871%-$9.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports14861%+$65.5K
Culture450%+$7.9K
Side taken
Yes 4%96% No
If you had copied fivethirty
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$633
Profit
on $3500 staked
21-14
Record
60% win rate
+18%
Return
95 still open
+$950+$0
Sep 7Sep 14
-$956
Max drawdown
73% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.45×
Profit factor
$2.0K won vs $1.4K lost
+8.7 pts
Edge vs implied
60% won at 51¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 12 trades
By category
sports31 settled+25%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
30 open positions worth $957.2K
The markets fivethirty is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Valencia: Maria Garcia Cid vs Yasmine Kabbaj
Sep 16, 2 fills, avg 92¢
Ljubljana: Lucie Havlickova vs Ekaterine Gorgodze
Sep 16, 2 fills, avg 92¢
Ljubljana: Weronika Falkowska vs Kristina Novak
Sep 15, 2 fills, avg 69¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$64.0KGuadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend$40.0K on Taylor Townsend, Sep 14
- 2+$45.1KBills vs. Texans$60.0K on Bills, Sep 13
- 3+$38.3KWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?$8.4K on Yes, Sep 13
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Valencia: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Lucia Cortez Llorca7+$0
Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Nao Hibino6+$0
Commanders vs. Eagles2100%+$30.9K
Guangzhou: Colin Sinclair vs Linang Xiao12+$0
Guadalajara Open Akron: Tatjana Maria vs Taylor Townsend867%+$48.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 19Sep 16
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$73.4K
How they build positions
Opened a new position78%
Closed a position22%
Similar Polymarket traders
Copy fivethirty's next trade the moment it lands.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.