Polymarketexstnc
0x715ce1ecfa3836fbb10e6829109ebce10a5f19d1
+$45.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 58
- First Seen
- Aug 29, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 17, 2026
exstnc is a Polymarket trader with 58 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 33 wins and 21 losses on settled markets, $45.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) on Sep 17.
- Win rate
- 61%
- Return on settled
- +17%
- Money traded
- $264.1K
- Typical trade
- $2.2K
- Copy score
- 48/100
- Polymarket rank
- #372
Profit over time
+$48.4K-$23.3K
Aug 29Sep 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢113%0%-13 pts
20 to 40¢2132%43%+11 pts
40 to 60¢3249%75%+26 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$500 to $1.0K1436%+$419
$1.0K to $2.2K1471%+$13.3K
$2.4K to $5.0K1385%+$48.1K
$5.0K to $28K1354%-$16.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Culture2564%-$7.7K
Sports2959%+$53.0K
Side taken
Yes 13%87% No
If you had copied exstnc
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$2355
Profit
on $5400 staked
33-21
Record
61% win rate
+44%
Return
+$2.4K-$443
Aug 24Sep 14
-$956
Max drawdown
37% below peak
2.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.12×
Profit factor
$4.5K won vs $2.1K lost
+19.4 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 42¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 12 trades
By category
sports29 settled+50%
culture25 settled+36%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)
Sep 17, 3 fills, avg 46¢
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?
Sep 16, 6 fills, avg 56¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?
Sep 16, 2 fills, avg 55¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$35.2KWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-29?$44.8K on No, Aug 29
- 2+$28.8KWill AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?$37.0K on No, Sep 16
- 3+$19.4KSeattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5$8.9K on Over, Sep 1
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-08-31?20%-$51.6K
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-29?2100%+$35.2K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?6100%+$28.8K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?10%-$18.8K
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?10%-$16.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 20Sep 17
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$23.3K
Sep 2026+$68.6K
How they build positions
Opened a new position84%
Added to a position16%
Similar Polymarket traders
Copy exstnc's next trade the moment it lands.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.