rivomarkets

thought-process

0xa588aa3010f03d742a7b9b259970df2f08f5dad8

+$71.2K
Tracked Trades
58
First Seen
Aug 28, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 13, 2026

thought-process is a Polymarket trader with 58 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 21 wins and 9 losses on settled markets, $71.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? on Sep 13.

Win rate
70%
Return on settled
+31%
Money traded
$384.8K
Typical trade
$3.3K
Copy score
52/100
Polymarket rank
#245

Profit over time

+$93.2K-$26.7K
Aug 28Sep 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢110%
20 to 40¢121%
40 to 60¢5451%70%+19 pts
60 to 80¢260%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$622 to $1.6K1586%+$7.0K
$1.6K to $3.3K1588%+$15.6K
$3.5K to $9.9K1457%+$13.9K
$10K to $35K1450%+$34.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Finance5670%+$71.2K
Culture2+$0

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied thought-process

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1327
Profit
on $3000 staked
21-9
Record
70% win rate
+44%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time30 settled trades
+$1.4K+$0
Aug 24Sep 7
-$400
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
3.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.47×
Profit factor
$2.2K won vs $900 lost
+20.8 pts
Edge vs implied
70% won at 49¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
4 trades

By category

finance30 settled+44%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.8K

The markets thought-process is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thought-process is holding

Recent positions

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Sep 13, 2 fills, avg 28¢
SELLYES$11.0KOpen
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Sep 9, avg 41¢
SELLYES$2.0KOpen
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Sep 8, avg 10¢
BUYYES$1.8KOpen
See every position across 3 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $151.4K on Yes, Aug 31
    +$151.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?5178%+$93.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?50%-$22.0K
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 16Sep 13

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$93.2K
Sep 2026-$22.0K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position53%
Added to a position23%
Opened a new position19%
Closed a position4%

Similar Polymarket traders

Copy thought-process's next trade the moment it lands.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.