rivomarkets

abeldawn

+$1.9K
Tracked Trades
564
First Seen
Feb 10, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 13, 2026
Followers
4

abeldawn is a Kalshi trader with 564 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 214 wins and 211 losses on settled markets, $1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 13.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$226.4K
Typical trade
$39
Copy score
48/100
Kalshi rank
#1,772

Profit over time

+$21.2K-$2.9K
Feb 10Sep 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9910%3%-7 pts
20 to 40¢7330%10%-19 pts
40 to 60¢13249%57%+9 pts
60 to 80¢12371%68%-3 pts
Over 80¢13792%95%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $514140%-$39
$5 to $3914155%-$439
$40 to $24214148%-$2.1K
$243 to $15K14157%+$4.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports843%-$1.2K
Culture4100%+$1.6K
Crypto1+$0

Side taken

Yes 76%24% No

If you had copied abeldawn

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$7024
Profit
on $39600 staked
209-187
Record
53% win rate
-18%
Return
8 still open
Profit over time396 settled trades
+$0-$10.5K
Jun 22Sep 7
-$10.9K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.62×
Profit factor
$11.7K won vs $18.7K lost
-2.5 pts
Edge vs implied
53% won at 55¢ avg
Longest losing streak
63
Deepest drawdown
270 trades

By category

sports7 settled+76%
other385 settled-20%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $2.2K

The markets abeldawn is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what abeldawn is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 13, avg 25¢
BUYYES$1.8K-$1.8K
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game: Atlanta wins?
Sep 13, avg 37¢
BUYYES$2.9K-$2.9K
yes Atlanta,yes Baltimore,yes Jacksonville,yes Detroit,yes Cincinnati
Sep 13, avg 24¢
BUYYES$1.9K-$1.9K
See every position across 152 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    England vs Argentina: To Advance
    $3.8K on Yes, Jul 15
    +$14.3K
  2. 2
    Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?
    $686 on Yes, Sep 13
    +$5.0K
  3. 3
    yes Los Angeles D,yes Houston
    $1.1K on Yes, Aug 20
    +$4.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points40%-$3.3K
yes Portugal advances,yes Switzerland advances,yes Argentina advances,yes Egypt advances,yes Ghana advances20%-$718
yes Brighton,yes Manchester City1+$0
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?20%-$4.1K
yes Cleveland,yes Tampa Bay,yes Atlanta,yes Atlanta,yes Las Vegas1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 16Sep 13

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$1
Mar 2026+$405
Apr 2026-$474
May 2026-$143
Jun 2026-$123
Jul 2026+$1.6K
Aug 2026+$12.2K
Sep 2026-$11.5K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy abeldawn on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.