rivomarkets

valid.lobster1938

+$1.9K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
5

valid.lobster1938 is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 269 wins and 255 losses on settled markets, $1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Denver wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
51%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$58.7K
Typical trade
$19
Copy score
47/100
Kalshi rank
#1,768

Profit over time

+$1.9K-$1.3K
Aug 20Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢757%14%+7 pts
20 to 40¢16132%35%+3 pts
40 to 60¢48850%49%-1 pts
60 to 80¢15566%83%+18 pts
Over 80¢12191%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225061%+$14
$3 to $1925049%+$1
$19 to $7025045%-$484
$71 to $1.8K25048%+$2.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports533%+$849
Culture30%-$522

Side taken

Yes 70%30% No

If you had copied valid.lobster1938

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1206
Profit
on $52400 staked
269-255
Record
51% win rate
+2%
Return
218 still open
Profit over time524 settled trades
+$2.1K-$870
Aug 17Sep 14
-$6.0K
Max drawdown
134% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$26.7K won vs $25.5K lost
+2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 49¢ avg
Longest losing streak
29
Deepest drawdown
164 trades

By category

other520 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

66 open positions worth $12.8K

The markets valid.lobster1938 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what valid.lobster1938 is holding

Recent positions

Denver wins
Sep 20, avg 45¢
BUYYES$212+$260
Denver wins
Sep 20, avg 57¢
BUYYES$1.8K+$1.4K
no Chicago wins by over 4.5 points,yes Clara Burel
Sep 20, avg 0¢
SELLNO$6Open
See every position across 204 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Denver wins
    $1.8K on Yes, Sep 20
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    no Miami (FL) wins by over 24.5 points,yes Oregon wins by over 58.5 points,yes Peyton Stearns
    $95 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$827
  3. 3
    Pavel Kotov wins
    $324 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$756
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Ayla Aksu wins250%-$981
Denver wins2100%+$1.6K
Clement Tabur wins170%-$530
Anton Matusevich wins370%-$510
Alexis Galarneau wins130%-$723

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$475
Sep 2026+$1.4K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy valid.lobster1938 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.