Ashtontheman
ashtontheman
+$10
- Tracked Trades
- 157
- First Seen
- Jul 29, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 20, 2026
Ashtontheman is a Kalshi trader with 157 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 21 wins and 40 losses on settled markets, $10 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Alexandre Pantoja wins on Sep 20.
- Win rate
- 34%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $5.2K
- Typical trade
- $15
- Copy score
- 24/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,009
Profit over time
+$395-$66
Aug 21Sep 20
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢458%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢3029%14%-14 pts
40 to 60¢4851%48%-3 pts
60 to 80¢1867%71%+4 pts
Over 80¢1689%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5408%+$12
$5 to $153927%-$74
$15 to $323935%-$96
$33 to $1.2K3963%+$169
Side taken
Yes 64%36% No
If you had copied Ashtontheman
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$1362
Profit
on $6100 staked
21-40
Record
34% win rate
-22%
Return
43 still open
+$0-$1.5K
Jul 27Sep 14
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
1724% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.66×
Profit factor
$2.6K won vs $4.0K lost
-4.8 pts
Edge vs implied
34% won at 39¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 42 trades
By category
other61 settled-22%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
31 open positions worth $699
The markets Ashtontheman is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Alexandre Pantoja wins
Sep 20, 3 fills, avg 45¢
yes Tampa Bay,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles C,yes Philadelphia
Sep 20, avg 32¢
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 88¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$125Chicago C wins$172 on Yes, Aug 24
- 2+$101Cruz Hewitt wins$48 on Yes, Aug 24
- 3+$90Arizona wins$72 on Yes, Aug 23
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
yes Boston,yes Washington,yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D4+$0
Chicago C wins1060%+$95
yes Boston,yes Washington,yes Chicago WS,yes Chicago C2+$0
Chicago C vs Seattle Winner?60%-$66
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 23Sep 20
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$54
Sep 2026-$44
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