rivomarkets

Prediction Market Trading Bot

Build a bot that trades Kalshi and Polymarket for you

What is a prediction market trading bot?

A prediction market trading bot places trades for you on Kalshi and Polymarket the moment your setup appears. Tell it to copy a winning trader, act on every big trade that fits your signal, or trade a market's price, and it does the watching every minute of every day so you never miss the trade you were waiting for.

Rivo builds one in three screens with no code. Pick who or what it trades, see what it would have made at your size on markets that already settled, then run it on paper or live through your own account inside the limits you set. Your money stays in your own venue account the whole time.

Traders worth building a bot on this month

The most profitable traders on Kalshi and Polymarket over the last 30 days with an A or B copy grade. One tap loads any of them into the bot builder.

TraderVenueCopy gradeWon-lost this monthProfit this month
thebigdonKalshiA2,384-57+$248.5KBuild a bot on them
WiseandstrongKalshiA7,880-458+$174.6KBuild a bot on them
lost.buckKalshiA723-154+$160.1KBuild a bot on them
pentasirKalshiB255-194+$121.4KBuild a bot on them
RichieRicherPolymarketA739-359+$2.5MBuild a bot on them
Kch-TempPolymarketB1,390-924+$1.2MBuild a bot on them
juice-fruitPolymarketA275-85+$883.5KBuild a bot on them
BillyGatingPolymarketA115-24+$832.9KBuild a bot on them

Rebuilt every hour from Rivo's record of every named trader on both venues. The copy grade rewards a long record of wins, not one lucky month: methodology.

Three bots you can build

  • Copy a winner

    Every time a trader you picked opens a position, the bot takes the same side at your size within seconds. Back a record you can read instead of a hunch.

  • Trade a signal

    Describe the trades you want, by market, size, price and move type, and the bot acts on every one that prints, whoever placed it. It reads the whole tape at once.

  • Trade a price

    Give one market a rule: buy when Yes falls to your level, sell a set number of points away. It follows the 15 minute crypto markets from one round to the next, on paper.

Build it in three screens

  1. Pick who or what it trades

    Copy a trader with a winning record, or build a signal from incoming trades: venue, category, minimum size, league, keywords, specific markets, entry price and move type. Four templates give you a working signal in one click.

    Step one of the bot builder with the Longshot Hunters signal loaded and every filter shown
  2. Backtest at your size

    Choose a fixed amount or a percentage of each source trade. The bot replays the trader or the signal at that size on markets that already resolved, so you see the record and the return before anything runs.

    Step two of the bot builder, the backtest at $100 a trade
  3. Choose how it runs

    Run a signal bot on paper or choose supported live execution. Set its schedule and notifications. Follow individual traders for alerts independently. You can activate live execution when creating a bot or later from its detail view.

    Step three of the bot builder, the mode, schedule and notification settings

See what it would have made before it trades

The second screen answers the question you actually have: what would this bot have made at my size? It replays the trader or the signal on markets that already settled and shows the record, the return and the drawdown. A signal is scored on every match from the last 90 days and checked on a recent stretch it never trained on, so an idea that only worked in the past is flagged before it runs.

Then run it on paper against live trades, filled at the price and fee a real order would get, the way Kalshi paper trading and prediction market paper trading work. When the record earns it, switch the same bot to live.

Live through your own account and your own limits

  • Your money stays put. A live bot trades through your own venue account. There is no Rivo wallet to fund.
  • Two ceilings, both yours. A maximum per trade and a maximum per day. The bot stops at both, and you can pause it any time.
  • Exits included. A bot that copies a Kalshi trader can sell when they sell, and any position can carry a stop-loss or take-profit.
  • Every decision logged. Each trade it takes and each one it skips is recorded with the reason.

How live bots behave in the seconds after a trade prints is on automated prediction market trading.

Kalshi bots and Polymarket bots

One builder covers both venues, and each one plays to a different strength. Kalshi is the regulated US exchange where many of the sharpest sports and macro traders show their trades by name. A Kalshi bot can copy those traders bet for bet and runs live through your own Kalshi API key, with copies placed on a dedicated fast path the moment the trade prints. The Kalshi trading bot page shows the best trader to build on in each Kalshi market.

Polymarket puts every trade on a public wallet, so every trader there has a full record to read, from the biggest soccer and esports accounts to the politics desks. A bot that copies a Polymarket wallet runs on paper or as alerts, and signal bots trade live on Polymarket US through your connected account. The Polymarket trading bot page covers the wallets worth copying.

You do not have to choose. A signal can watch both venues at once, so the same rule catches a big NFL buy on Kalshi and a big one on Polymarket, and one dashboard shows every bot you run on either.

Where a bot can trade

Paper bots run on every venue we track. Live bots run where the venue lets a server place orders with your own credentials. Polymarket Global signs orders in your browser, so a bot there stops at alerts or paper.

VenueAlerts and paperLive botTrader identity
KalshiYesYes, through your own Kalshi API keyPublic profiles where exposed
Polymarket USYesYes, through your connected Polymarket US accountNone in the public trade feed
GeminiYesYes, through your connected Gemini accountNone in the public trade feed
PolymarketYesNot yet. Orders are browser-signedPublic wallet records

Start from a template

Each template opens the builder with a working signal already set. The backtest on the next screen shows what it did over the last 90 days at your size. Edit any field before you save it.

  • Sports Whales

    Big new positions in sports markets across NFL, NBA, MLB and NHL, on every venue we track.

    Run this bot
  • Longshot Hunters

    Big new positions on outcomes priced under 20 cents, the trades where a win pays multiples.

    Run this bot
  • Politics Desk

    Big new positions in politics markets: elections, policy and everything downstream of them.

    Run this bot
  • Big Money

    Only the biggest trades on any venue, in any market.

    Run this bot

Drive it from code or an AI agent

Everything the builder does is available through the REST API and the MCP server on the same account. In the API a trader bot is a follow and a signal bot is a strategy. Live trading needs a trade-scoped key, an explicit confirmation on every call, and a per-key daily spend cap that fails closed.

Frequently asked questions

What is a prediction market trading bot?

A bot that makes trades for you when something happens. In Rivo it trades when a trader you chose opens a position, when an incoming trade fits a signal you built, or when one market's price hits a level you set. It can alert you, trade on paper at your size, or place a real order on a venue that supports live bots.

What is the best prediction market trading bot?

The best prediction market trading bot is one you can prove before it spends your money. Rivo builds bots on Kalshi and Polymarket from real trader records and the live trade tape, replays every idea at your size on settled markets, runs it on paper against live trades, and then trades live through your own account inside per-trade and daily limits, with no code.

Can one bot trade both Kalshi and Polymarket?

A signal bot can watch both venues at once, so one rule catches a matching trade on Kalshi and on Polymarket and records both in one place. A bot that copies a trader follows that trader on their own venue.

Do I need to code?

No. The builder is three screens: pick who or what the bot trades, read the backtest at your size, choose how it runs. Developers can do the same through the REST API and the MCP server.

Which venues can a bot trade live on?

Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini, each through your own account. Polymarket Global is fully covered for records, alerts, backtests and paper bots, but its orders are signed in your browser, so a Polymarket Global bot runs as alerts or on paper.

Does Rivo hold my money?

No. A live bot places orders through your own venue credentials, which you connect in settings and can revoke at any time. Your funds stay in your venue account. There is no Rivo wallet and no path by which Rivo can withdraw.

What does the backtest show?

For a trader, it replays their recorded trades at your size over the last 7, 30 or 90 days, a year, or their whole record with us, and shows the record, the return and the risk. For a signal, it scores every recorded trade that matched over the last 90 days, splits the window into a training part and a validation part, and tells you whether the result holds out of sample. Every number is a paper result at the trader's entry price on markets that have already resolved.

What is the difference between a paper bot and a live bot?

A paper bot records every trade it would have made with virtual money and scores it when the market settles, so you build a record without risking anything. A live bot evaluates matching entries against your limits and current execution conditions. It places qualifying orders through your connected account. You promote a paper bot to live from its own page, and the trader or signal and the size carry over.

Does a bot sell for me too?

A Kalshi bot that copies a trader can sell what it bought when that trader sells. Other bots place entries only, so closing stays your decision, or a stop-loss and take-profit rule you arm per position.

How much does it cost?

Everything, including live bots, is part of the $15 a month subscription. Just one trade can pay for it. Venue fees are separate and paid to the venue. There is no charge per bot and no cut of your trades.

Build the bot and let it prove itself

Paper bots on every venue, live bots through your own account. $9 a week or $15 a month. Just one trade can pay for it. Trading involves risk of loss.

Build a bot