rivomarkets

Caraloha

caraloha

+$396
Tracked Trades
182
First Seen
Jan 5, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026

Caraloha is a Kalshi trader with 182 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 19 wins and 57 losses on settled markets, $396 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
25%
Return on settled
+8%
Money traded
$14.0K
Typical trade
$19
Copy score
14/100
Kalshi rank
#2,514

Profit over time

+$2.4K-$311
Mar 20Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢457%16%+8 pts
20 to 40¢4030%4%-26 pts
40 to 60¢5150%48%-2 pts
60 to 80¢767%
Over 80¢3893%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $74613%-$35
$7 to $194531%-$14
$19 to $634533%-$138
$64 to $4.4K4520%+$584

Side taken

Yes 73%27% No

If you had copied Caraloha

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1468
Profit
on $5600 staked
13-43
Record
23% win rate
-26%
Return
5 still open
Profit over time56 settled trades
+$0-$1.5K
Aug 10Sep 14
-$3.4K
Max drawdown
177% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.66×
Profit factor
$2.8K won vs $4.3K lost
-6.8 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 30¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
53 trades

By category

other56 settled-26%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $330

The markets Caraloha is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Caraloha is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 88¢
SELLNO$4.4KOpen
DAL Cowboys wins 1H by over 9.5 points?
Sep 20, 4 fills, avg 48¢
BUYYES$299-$299
New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points?
Sep 20, avg 1¢
SELLNO$3Open
See every position across 67 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points,yes Iowa St. wins by over 16.5 points,yes Penn St. wins by over 27.5 points,yes Wisconsin wins by over 13.5 points,yes Ohio St. wins by over 33.5 points,yes Georgia Tech wins by over 27.5 points,yes Kansas St. wins by over 9.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 13.5 points
    $471 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$2.7K
  2. 2
    yes BYU wins by over 2.5 points,yes Tennessee wins by over 20.5 points,yes Notre Dame wins by over 13.5 points,yes Missouri wins by over 6.5 points,yes Texas wins by over 20.5 points
    $339 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$630
  3. 3
    New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points?
    $193 on Yes, Sep 20
    +$155
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points20%-$656
UConn wins by over 21.5 Points?8+$0
Will Joey Logano be the Cook Out 400 Winner?2+$0
yes Minnesota wins by over 13.5 points,yes Iowa St. wins by over 16.5 points,yes Penn St. wins by over 27.5 points,yes Wisconsin wins by over 13.5 points,yes Ohio St. wins by over 33.5 points,yes Georgia Tech wins by over 27.5 points,yes Kansas St. wins by over 9.5 points,yes Georgia wins by over 13.5 points3100%+$2.7K
yes Tetairoa McMillan: 2+,yes Christian Watson: 2+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 3+,yes Mike Evans: 2+,yes DeVonta Smith: 3+,yes Trey McBride: 4+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 4+,yes Isaiah Likely: 2+,yes Tetairoa McMillan: 25+,yes Christian Watson: 25+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 15+,yes Mike Evans: 25+,yes DeVonta Smith: 25+,yes Trey McBride: 40+,yes Baker Mayfield: 10+,yes Kenneth Walker: 50+,yes Derrick Henry: 50+,yes Lamar Jackson: 15+,yes Javonte Williams: 40+10%-$470

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$70
Apr 2026-$241
Sep 2026+$708

Similar Kalshi traders

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.