rivomarkets
Kalshi

divine.swordtail8686

+$396
Tracked Trades
1,002
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
2

divine.swordtail8686 is a Kalshi trader with 1,002 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 277 wins and 239 losses on settled markets, $396 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXBTCD-26SEP2012-T80799.99 on Sep 20.

Win rate
54%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$53.3K
Typical trade
$16
Copy score
49/100
Kalshi rank
#2,516

Profit over time

+$605-$365
Sep 11Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢16311%6%-5 pts
20 to 40¢17929%39%+10 pts
40 to 60¢21349%40%-9 pts
60 to 80¢20169%80%+11 pts
Over 80¢24689%81%-8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $325150%-$23
$3 to $1625147%-$84
$16 to $5925056%+$244
$60 to $1.5K25064%+$259

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports3+$0
Culture2100%+$298
Crypto1+$0

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied divine.swordtail8686

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1212
Profit
on $51600 staked
277-239
Record
54% win rate
-2%
Return
114 still open
Profit over time516 settled trades
+$473-$1.2K
Sep 7Sep 14
-$8.1K
Max drawdown
227% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.95×
Profit factor
$22.7K won vs $23.9K lost
-0.7 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 54¢ avg
Longest losing streak
17
Deepest drawdown
392 trades

By category

other514 settled-2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

47 open positions worth $6.7K

The markets divine.swordtail8686 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what divine.swordtail8686 is holding

Recent positions

KXBTCD-26SEP2012-T80799.99
Sep 20, avg 54¢
BUYYES$514+$437
yes Taylor Fritz,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Isaac Becroft,yes Kokoro Isomura,no Over 4.5 goals scored,yes HOU Texans,no Over 47.5 points scored,no Over 45.5 points scored,yes Atlanta,yes Madison Keys,yes Coco Gauff
Sep 19, avg 95¢
SELLNO$515Open
Jay Clarke wins
Sep 19, avg 84¢
SELLNO$504Open
See every position across 208 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXBTCD-26SEP2012-T80799.99
    $514 on Yes, Sep 20
    +$437
  2. 2
    Jay Clarke wins
    $264 on Yes, Sep 14
    +$336
  3. 3
    Giuseppe La Vela wins
    $88 on Yes, Sep 14
    +$312
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?19442%-$782
Abdullah Shelbayh wins2064%-$295
Stefan Kozlov wins25+$0
Bitcoin price on Sep 17, 2026?4833%-$188
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra wins230%-$420

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$396

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