rivomarkets

carinha

+$4.0K
Tracked Trades
959
First Seen
Aug 25, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 15, 2026
Followers
4

carinha is a Kalshi trader with 959 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 467 wins and 247 losses on settled markets, $4.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 15.

Win rate
65%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$135.8K
Typical trade
$4
Copy score
62/100
Kalshi rank
#1,261

Profit over time

+$9.0K+$0
Aug 25Sep 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4441%3%+2 pts
60 to 80¢262%
Over 80¢51399%94%-5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $024012%-$10
$0 to $424049%+$649
$4 to $5024087%+$2.7K
$50 to $8.3K23992%+$598

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto2090%+$1.7K

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied carinha

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$26343
Profit
on $71400 staked
467-247
Record
65% win rate
+37%
Return
46 still open
Profit over time714 settled trades
+$26.4K-$2.8K
Aug 24Sep 14
-$16.5K
Max drawdown
38% below peak
1.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.07×
Profit factor
$51.0K won vs $24.7K lost
-2.6 pts
Edge vs implied
65% won at 68¢ avg
Longest losing streak
126
Deepest drawdown
421 trades

By category

crypto20 settled+40%
other694 settled+37%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

7 open positions worth $2.6K

The markets carinha is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what carinha is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 15, avg 94¢
BUYYES$935-$935
Bitcoin price on Sep 10, 2026?
Sep 10, avg 95¢
BUYYES$4.1K-$4.1K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 10, avg 100¢
BUYYES$5.8K+$12
See every position across 70 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026?
    $39 on No, Sep 7
    +$3.8K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $820 on No, Sep 1
    +$3.7K
  3. 3
    Bitcoin price on Aug 30, 2026?
    $527 on No, Aug 30
    +$2.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?8997%+$3.1K
Bitcoin price on Sep 6, 2026?23457%+$2.0K
Bitcoin price on Sep 5, 2026?16392%+$183
Bitcoin price on Sep 7, 2026?31439%+$121
Bitcoin price on Sep 8, 2026?10189%+$214

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 18Sep 15

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$2.3K
Sep 2026+$1.7K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy carinha on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.