rivomarkets

2000yearoldpromise

+$4.0K
Tracked Trades
370
First Seen
Jan 26, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
32

2000yearoldpromise is a Kalshi trader with 370 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 54 wins and 70 losses on settled markets, $4.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+13%
Money traded
$99.5K
Typical trade
$46
Copy score
35/100
Kalshi rank
#1,260

Profit over time

+$6.0K-$7.3K
Jan 26Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢498%48%+40 pts
20 to 40¢4430%17%-13 pts
40 to 60¢8250%51%+1 pts
60 to 80¢2767%45%-22 pts
Over 80¢12092%71%-21 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $88145%+$442
$9 to $478139%+$758
$47 to $2328052%+$8.2K
$244 to $5.7K8041%-$5.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2820%-$3.9K
Culture3731%-$289
Politics2+$0

Side taken

Yes 64%36% No

If you had copied 2000yearoldpromise

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$17313
Profit
on $9000 staked
41-49
Record
46% win rate
+192%
Return
56 still open
Profit over time90 settled trades
+$18.3K-$1.2K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$3.0K
Max drawdown
15% below peak
5.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.53×
Profit factor
$22.2K won vs $4.9K lost
+7.3 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 38¢ avg
Longest losing streak
30
Deepest drawdown
30 trades

By category

other44 settled+443%
culture26 settled-43%
sports20 settled-52%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

26 open positions worth $25.4K

The markets 2000yearoldpromise is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 2000yearoldpromise is holding

Recent positions

yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Sep 20, avg 65¢
SELLNO$2.1KOpen
Will Ole Miss win the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game?
Sep 20, avg 39¢
BUYYES$480+$750
Will Ole Miss win the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game?
Sep 20, avg 48¢
BUYYES$1.4K+$1.5K
See every position across 69 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?
    $1.1K on Yes, Sep 13
    +$10.2K
  2. 2
    Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
    $953 on Yes, Jun 17
    +$5.7K
  3. 3
    yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
    $956 on Yes, Sep 12
    +$1.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?12100%+$10.2K
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?7+$0
Will Chicago win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?29+$0
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?2100%+$5.7K
Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Houston wins?30%-$5.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$34
Feb 2026-$714
Mar 2026-$469
Apr 2026-$1.4K
Jun 2026+$2.1K
Jul 2026-$3.1K
Aug 2026-$2
Sep 2026+$7.6K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy 2000yearoldpromise on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.