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Stats as of

2000yearoldpromise

-$3.3K
Tracked Trades
232
First Seen
Jan 26, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In College football
59% won · 27 settled · +$18.0K

2000yearoldpromise is a Kalshi trader with 232 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 60 wins and 112 losses on settled markets, -$3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202652DJRDAYP2RZHCNV-E7WGDF7XL on Nov 4.

Win rate
35%
Return on settled
-4%
Money traded
$105.7K
Typical trade
$190.73
Avg entry
35¢
Kalshi rank
#3,902

Profit over time

+$34.00-$13.6K
Jan 26Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢718%14%+6 pts
20 to 40¢3829%37%+8 pts
40 to 60¢7250%35%-15 pts
60 to 80¢3067%44%-22 pts
Over 80¢2190%69%-21 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $355819%-$226.85
$35 to $1915834%+$999.99
$191 to $4905833%+$1.5K
$529 to $5.0K5848%-$5.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer4630%-$4.5K
NFL6943%-$13.1K
Parlays4129%+$3.7K
College football4759%+$18.0K
College basketball929%-$2.4K
Fed and rates20%-$2.4K

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied 2000yearoldpromise

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$326.57
Profit
on $7,500.00 staked
30-45
Record
40% win rate
-4%
Return
Profit over time75 settled trades
+$543.25-$922.28
Sep 7Nov 2
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
209% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$4.2K won vs $4.5K lost
-3.6 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 44¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
29 trades

By category

other19 settled+28%
sports48 settled-5%
culture6 settled-71%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Amy Acton + Greg Abbott + James Talarico
Nov 4, 2 fills
Yes44¢sold 7¢$481.04-$481.04
Washington scores first TD
Nov 2, 5 fills
Yes75¢$44.26-$44.26
Parlay: Washington + Rachaad White: 1+ + Philadelphia over 7.5 points + Washington over 24.5 points + Over 44.5 points
Nov 2
Yes11¢$1.88-$1.88
See every position across 118 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?
    $1.1K on Yes at 10¢, Sep 13
    +$10.2K
  2. 2
    Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
    $952.53 on Yes at 14¢, Jun 17
    +$5.7K
  3. 3
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026JO4AUT3YRX7VQ5TV-3WSP7SBNS
    $952.55 on Yes at 29¢, Oct 29
    +$2.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?94¢2100%+$620.61
Parlay: Georgia + Georgia over 13.5 points + Not Over 56.5 points42¢3100%+$1.7K
Buffalo vs Houston Pro Football game: Houston wins?48¢30%-$5.4K
Turkiye vs USA Winner?17¢433%-$429.74
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?36¢30%-$4.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$33.92
Feb 2026-$714.85
Mar 2026-$1.0K
Apr 2026-$1.4K
Jun 2026+$1.9K
Jul 2026-$7.9K
Aug 2026-$1.95
Sep 2026-$4.5K
Oct 2026+$10.9K
Nov 2026-$568.02

Kalshi leaderboards

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