clay.steel
-$135
- Tracked Trades
- 820
- First Seen
- Feb 1, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 23, 2026
- Followers
- 7
clay.steel is a Kalshi trader with 820 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 508 wins and 87 losses on settled markets, -$135 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Mae Malige,yes Lars Goran Verwerft,yes Astrid Cirotte,yes Alice Rame on Sep 23.
- Win rate
- 85%
- Return on settled
- +-0%
- Money traded
- $131.0K
- Typical trade
- $38
- Copy score
- 83/100
- Kalshi rank
- #3,183
Profit over time
+$981-$1.2K
Feb 2Sep 23
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢144%
20 to 40¢1527%0%-27 pts
40 to 60¢2351%55%+4 pts
60 to 80¢12568%37%-31 pts
Over 80¢63793%95%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $420475%-$11
$4 to $3820484%-$187
$38 to $18720394%+$385
$188 to $1.2K20389%+$470
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports2974%-$2.0K
Culture1386%-$239
Side taken
Yes 92%8% No
If you had copied clay.steel
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$3211
Profit
on $57400 staked
494-80
Record
86% win rate
-6%
Return
116 still open
+$717-$3.2K
Jul 6Sep 21
-$5.7K
Max drawdown
263% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.60×
Profit factor
$4.8K won vs $8.0K lost
-2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
86% won at 89¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 50
- Deepest drawdown
- 147 trades
By category
other544 settled-5%
culture7 settled-8%
sports23 settled-12%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
38 open positions worth $16.2K
The markets clay.steel is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
yes Mae Malige,yes Lars Goran Verwerft,yes Astrid Cirotte,yes Alice Rame
Sep 23, avg 44¢
Anja Stankovic wins
Sep 23, avg 58¢
Anja Stankovic wins
Sep 23, avg 97¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$865yes Chris Sale: 5+,yes Jacob Misiorowski: 5+,yes Logan Webb: 3+,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored$626 on Yes, Sep 6
- 2+$554yes Chris Sale: 5+,yes Jacob Misiorowski: 5+,yes Logan Webb: 3+,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 4.5 runs scored$541 on Yes, Sep 4
- 3+$400Will Jakub Mensik win set 3 in the Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien match$384 on Yes, Sep 6
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Barcelona wins5100%+$644
Jiri Lehecka wins680%-$767
Kaitlin Quevedo wins5100%+$42
Cristina Bucsa wins7100%+$177
Connie Ma wins17100%+$159
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 26Sep 23
Profit by month
Feb 2026-$144
Apr 2026-$56
Jul 2026+$53
Sep 2026+$804
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