rivomarkets

dawn.moon

+$24.8K
Tracked Trades
792
First Seen
Nov 9, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
1

dawn.moon is a Kalshi trader with 792 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 37 wins and 51 losses on settled markets, $24.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Coby Mayo: 1+,yes Pete Alonso: 1+,yes Jackson Chourio: 1+,yes William Contreras: 1+,yes Roman Anthony: 1+,yes Wilyer Abreu: 1+,yes Chandler Simpson: 1+,yes Junior Caminero: 1+ on Sep 19.

Win rate
42%
Return on settled
+49%
Money traded
$194.1K
Typical trade
$94
Copy score
14/100
Kalshi rank
#336

Profit over time

+$33.0K-$325
Dec 20Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4896%12%+6 pts
20 to 40¢16328%38%+10 pts
40 to 60¢6449%68%+19 pts
60 to 80¢4372%88%+16 pts
Over 80¢2389%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3719667%-$3
$37 to $9419613%-$170
$94 to $30719550%+$1.2K
$311 to $7.1K19538%+$24.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1040%-$475

Side taken

Yes 88%12% No

If you had copied dawn.moon

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$582
Profit
on $4400 staked
11-33
Record
25% win rate
+13%
Return
286 still open
Profit over time44 settled trades
+$1.3K-$900
Jun 22Sep 14
-$992
Max drawdown
68% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.18×
Profit factor
$3.9K won vs $3.3K lost
+0.3 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 25¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
12 trades

By category

other39 settled+18%
sports5 settled-24%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

237 open positions worth $60.6K

The markets dawn.moon is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what dawn.moon is holding

Recent positions

yes Coby Mayo: 1+,yes Pete Alonso: 1+,yes Jackson Chourio: 1+,yes William Contreras: 1+,yes Roman Anthony: 1+,yes Wilyer Abreu: 1+,yes Chandler Simpson: 1+,yes Junior Caminero: 1+
Sep 19, avg 10¢
BUYYES$456-$456
yes Milwaukee,yes Tampa Bay,yes Philadelphia,yes Chicago C,yes Pittsburgh,yes Atlanta
Sep 19, avg 2¢
BUYYES$461Open
San Francisco wins
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 16¢
BUYYES$537-$537
See every position across 520 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $937 on Yes, Sep 4
    +$14.4K
  2. 2
    Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship?
    $6.1K on Yes, May 31
    +$7.8K
  3. 3
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $3.5K on Yes, Sep 19
    +$7.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points825%+$1.5K
Will the San Antonio win the 2026 Pro Basketball Western Conference Championship?10100%+$7.8K
New Zealand Breakers vs Adelaide 36ers Winner?28+$0
Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs?8+$0
UNLV at Ohio Winner?680%+$655

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$5.1K
Jan 2026+$1.6K
Feb 2026-$260
Apr 2026+$1.0K
May 2026+$7.3K
Jun 2026-$713
Jul 2026-$897
Aug 2026+$869
Sep 2026+$11.0K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy dawn.moon on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.