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Stats as of

QP09

qp09

+$2.8K
Tracked Trades
6,922
First Seen
Aug 17, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 8, 2026
Best In Esports
88% won · 16 settled · +$108.72

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active sports traders who bet one side: BWmarkets, call.road, Bizzle333

QP09 is a Kalshi trader with 6,922 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 519 wins and 1,060 losses on settled markets, $2.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 8.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$894.8K
Typical trade
$2.94
Avg entry
58¢
Kalshi rank
#2,359

Profit over time

+$5.5K-$1.9K
Aug 17Oct 7

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢52885%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢11225%24%-1 pts
40 to 60¢7852%63%+11 pts
60 to 80¢18771%81%+10 pts
Over 80¢125796%96%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $117318%+$49.93
$1 to $3173113%+$84.40
$3 to $18173030%+$235.83
$18 to $13K173073%+$2.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin687133%-$603.70
Parlays1129%+$2.4K
College football160%-$153.95
Esports2188%+$108.72
Tennis2100%+$1.1K
WNBA1+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 45%55% No

If you had copied QP09

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$7,726.90
Profit
on $38,900.00 staked
254-135
Record
65% win rate
-20%
Return
Profit over time389 settled trades
+$0.00-$7.8K
Aug 17Oct 5
-$8.1K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.43×
Profit factor
$5.8K won vs $13.5K lost
-0.4 pts
Edge vs implied
65% won at 66¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
372 trades

By category

crypto147 settled-16%
other233 settled-22%
sports9 settled-35%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 8
Sold Nosold 30¢$1.1KExited
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 7, 19 fills
No70¢sold 70¢$2.9K+$1.2K
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 7, 10 fills
Yes2¢sold 2¢$0.43-$0.43
See every position across 388 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202623EAD28395D-5BA4C4BDFCD
    $1.9K on Yes at 37¢, Oct 3
    +$3.2K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $29.89 on Yes at 2¢, Sep 28
    +$1.8K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $206.13 on No at 13¢, Sep 27
    +$1.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?58¢686632%-$673.18
San Diego St. wins7¢160%-$153.95
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026F786A548487-0C27DEC896078¢1100%+$557.71
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202623EAD28395D-5BA4C4BDFCD37¢1100%+$3.2K
yes BYU,yes Texas St.,yes Houston,yes England,yes Spain,yes Alexander Hernandez,yes Payton Talbott,yes Marcus McGhee32¢40%-$439.42

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 11Oct 8

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$1.3K
Sep 2026+$3.0K
Oct 2026+$1.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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