rivomarkets
Kalshi

defined.llama0303

+$259
Tracked Trades
81
First Seen
Sep 15, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 21, 2026
Followers
1

defined.llama0303 is a Kalshi trader with 81 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 4 wins and 14 losses on settled markets, $259 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Davante Adams: 40+,yes Odell Beckham Jr.: 15+,yes Kyren Williams: 40+,yes Cam Skattebo: 40+ on Sep 21.

Win rate
22%
Return on settled
+91%
Money traded
$3.5K
Typical trade
$9
Copy score
6/100
Kalshi rank
#2,636

Profit over time

+$259-$104
Sep 18Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢457%7%+1 pts
20 to 40¢1228%0%-28 pts
40 to 60¢1248%100%+52 pts
60 to 80¢765%100%+35 pts
Over 80¢392%100%+8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4200%-$4
$4 to $9200%-$32
$9 to $242020%+$264
$28 to $1.5K19100%+$32

Side taken

Yes 95%5% No

If you had copied defined.llama0303

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$747
Profit
on $1700 staked
3-14
Record
18% win rate
+44%
Return
41 still open
Profit over time17 settled trades
+$747-$694
Jul 6Sep 21

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 17 so far.

By category

other17 settled+44%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

22 open positions worth $773

The markets defined.llama0303 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what defined.llama0303 is holding

Recent positions

yes Davante Adams: 40+,yes Odell Beckham Jr.: 15+,yes Kyren Williams: 40+,yes Cam Skattebo: 40+
Sep 21, avg 11¢
BUYYES$277Open
yes Kansas City,yes Daniel Jones: 150+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 175+,yes Rashee Rice: 25+,yes Travis Kelce: 25+,yes Xavier Worthy: 25+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+,yes Xavier Worthy: 1+
Sep 20, avg 5¢
BUYYES$19+$364
yes San Francisco,yes Dallas,yes Cleveland,yes Cincinnati,yes Houston,yes Kansas City,yes Buffalo,yes Los Angeles R,yes Las Vegas,yes Minnesota,yes New England,yes Detroit,yes Seattle,yes New York G,yes Philadelphia
Sep 20, avg 0¢
BUYYES$9Open
See every position across 49 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Kansas City,yes Daniel Jones: 150+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 175+,yes Rashee Rice: 25+,yes Travis Kelce: 25+,yes Xavier Worthy: 25+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 1+,yes Xavier Worthy: 1+
    $19 on Yes, Sep 20
    +$364
  2. 2
    New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?
    $44 on Yes, Sep 10
    +$25
  3. 3
    UCLA wins
    $14 on Yes, Sep 6
    +$22
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Dalton Kincaid: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+,yes Jameson Williams: 1+,yes Sam LaPorta: 1+20%-$9
yes Davante Adams: 40+,yes Odell Beckham Jr.: 15+,yes Kyren Williams: 40+,yes Cam Skattebo: 40+1+$0
Green Bay at Dallas Winner?3+$0
Cincinnati at Denver: Point Total Total Points?2+$0
Will Conor McGregor win the Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 24Sep 21

Profit by month

Sep 2025+$7
Jul 2026-$9
Sep 2026+$261

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