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Stats as of
outrageous.cicada1919
-$1.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 627
- First Seen
- Jul 6, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 15% won · 241 settled · +$1.5K
outrageous.cicada1919 is a Kalshi trader with 627 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 123 wins and 382 losses on settled markets, -$1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B6D1C810173-939C309BB52 on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- -3%
- Money traded
- $111.6K
- Typical trade
- $92.84
- Avg entry
- 18¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,969
Profit over time
+$1.3K-$3.7K
Jul 6Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢20511%11%-1 pts
20 to 40¢23030%25%-4 pts
40 to 60¢10346%36%-10 pts
60 to 80¢3872%77%+5 pts
Over 80¢5191%89%-2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5115718%-$1.6K
$51 to $9315721%-$3.0K
$93 to $16315726%-$629.65
$163 to $4.1K15639%+$3.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays30615%+$1.5K
Tennis18133%-$2.5K
Bitcoin5532%+$430.67
WNBA2430%-$631.30
NFL128%-$2.3K
Baseball3235%+$1.1K
Side taken
Yes 78%22% No
If you had copied outrageous.cicada1919
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$3,051.54
Profit
on $23,500.00 staked
55-180
Record
23% win rate
-13%
Return
+$939.43-$3.1K
Aug 10Oct 12
-$5.1K
Max drawdown
291% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.83×
Profit factor
$14.9K won vs $18.0K lost
-2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 26¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 16
- Deepest drawdown
- 217 trades
By category
other163 settled-6%
sports69 settled-31%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B6D1C810173-939C309BB52
Oct 13
yes Shintaro Mochizuki,yes Massimo Giunta,yes Mattia Bellucci,yes Lucas Miedler / Neil Oberleitner,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Sorana Cirstea
Oct 13
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AD07A210485-2711218A2EC
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.4Kyes Denver,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes San Francisco$419.67 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 11
- 2+$3.0Kyes Stefanos Tsitsipas,yes Hubert Hurkacz,yes Matthew Dellavedova,yes Asylzhan Arystanbekova,yes Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni,yes Indiana,yes Minnesota,yes Emiliana Arango$185.65 on Yes at 6¢, Aug 14
- 3+$2.5Kyes Air Force,yes Arizona,yes Oregon,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit$475.79 on Yes at 16¢, Sep 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?43¢5532%+$430.67
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B12A0E21F06-4A19244EE121+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202677C2108A272-B852F2599E61+$0.00
Will Tena Lukas win the Lukas vs Bennemann: W75 Hechingen Quarterfinal match?82¢40%-$1.7K
Hunter Heck wins81¢2100%+$464.27
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$2.3K
Aug 2026-$719.18
Sep 2026-$187.23
Oct 2026+$1.4K
Kalshi leaderboards
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