rivomarkets
Kalshi

outrageous.cicada1919

+$255
Tracked Trades
887
First Seen
Jul 6, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
2

outrageous.cicada1919 is a Kalshi trader with 887 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 59 wins and 98 losses on settled markets, $255 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
38%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$76.7K
Typical trade
$40
Copy score
30/100
Kalshi rank
#2,640

Profit over time

+$490-$976
Jul 9Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢20912%13%+1 pts
20 to 40¢33330%30%+0 pts
40 to 60¢19445%38%-7 pts
60 to 80¢8071%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢7193%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $922237%-$44
$9 to $4022232%-$46
$40 to $9322240%+$389
$93 to $1.9K22144%-$45

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2100%+$443

Side taken

Yes 71%29% No

If you had copied outrageous.cicada1919

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1075
Profit
on $15700 staked
59-98
Record
38% win rate
-7%
Return
523 still open
Profit over time157 settled trades
+$244-$1.6K
Jul 6Sep 14
-$2.4K
Max drawdown
446% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.89×
Profit factor
$8.7K won vs $9.8K lost
-1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
38% won at 39¢ avg
Longest losing streak
16
Deepest drawdown
40 trades

By category

other156 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

274 open positions worth $37.3K

The markets outrageous.cicada1919 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what outrageous.cicada1919 is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 86¢
SELLNO$884Open
Clemson wins
Sep 19, avg 78¢
SELLNO$505Open
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 18, avg 93¢
SELLNO$568Open
See every position across 343 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Los Angeles D,yes Fukuoka Hawks
    $118 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$482
  2. 2
    Hunter Heck wins
    $1.9K on Yes, Sep 18
    +$443
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $91 on Yes, Sep 14
    +$414
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?12949%+$432
Will Tena Lukas win the Lukas vs Bennemann: W75 Hechingen Quarterfinal match?9+$0
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0
Hunter Heck wins2100%+$464
yes Bernard Tomic,yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Arizona,yes Toronto,yes Boston,yes New York,yes Solana Sierra2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$546
Aug 2026+$516
Sep 2026+$285

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