rivomarkets
Kalshi

firm.stance

+$4.7K
Tracked Trades
996
First Seen
Mar 12, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 10, 2026
Followers
7

firm.stance is a Kalshi trader with 996 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 51 wins and 150 losses on settled markets, $4.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Ceara wins on Sep 10.

Win rate
25%
Return on settled
+195%
Money traded
$21.2K
Typical trade
$6
Copy score
20/100
Kalshi rank
#1,134

Profit over time

+$4.8K-$274
Mar 15Sep 10

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢51910%22%+12 pts
20 to 40¢25729%37%+8 pts
40 to 60¢13148%22%-25 pts
60 to 80¢4470%
Over 80¢4589%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $224925%+$61
$2 to $624925%+$263
$6 to $1924934%+$4.1K
$19 to $2.9K24921%+$300

Side taken

Yes 74%26% No

If you had copied firm.stance

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$31784
Profit
on $14000 staked
37-103
Record
26% win rate
+227%
Return
354 still open
Profit over time140 settled trades
+$31.8K-$1.9K
Jul 6Sep 7
-$3.2K
Max drawdown
19% below peak
9.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.09×
Profit factor
$42.1K won vs $10.3K lost
+11.4 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 15¢ avg
Longest losing streak
32
Deepest drawdown
32 trades

By category

other140 settled+227%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

162 open positions worth $3.9K

The markets firm.stance is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what firm.stance is holding

Recent positions

Ceara wins
Sep 10, 8 fills, avg 8¢
BUYYES$19-$19
yes Atlanta,yes Houston,yes Minnesota,yes Philadelphia,yes San Diego FC,yes Nashville,yes Vancouver
Sep 10, avg 3¢
BUYYES$5-$5
yes Atlanta,yes Columbus,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles F,yes Minnesota,yes Philadelphia,yes Portland,yes San Diego FC,yes Nashville,yes Vancouver
Sep 9, avg 0¢
BUYYES$5-$5
See every position across 357 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Fortaleza,yes Palmeiras,yes Reg Time: Chelsea,yes Reg Time: Over 1.5 goals scored,yes SL Benfica,yes Al Nassr,yes Celtic,yes Barcelona,yes Liverpool,yes Arsenal,yes PSG,yes Sporting CP,yes Stuttgart,yes Bayern Munich,yes Como,yes Manchester United,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
    $18 on Yes, Sep 9
    +$3.5K
  2. 2
    Montevideo City wins
    $91 on Yes, Sep 4
    +$948
  3. 3
    Celta Vigo vs Levante Winner?
    $42 on Yes, May 12
    +$472
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?2409%-$116
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
Montevideo City wins18100%+$948
Cerro Largo vs Penarol Winner?7+$0
Real Madrid wins30%-$46

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 13Sep 10

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$107
Apr 2026+$42
May 2026+$208
Jun 2026-$44
Jul 2026-$51
Aug 2026+$152
Sep 2026+$4.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

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