rivomarkets
Kalshi

franciscoErgu

franciscoergu

+$4.7K
Tracked Trades
290
First Seen
Nov 2, 2025
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
3

franciscoErgu is a Kalshi trader with 290 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 30 wins and 96 losses on settled markets, $4.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Robelis Despaigne wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
24%
Return on settled
+28%
Money traded
$31.7K
Typical trade
$36
Copy score
25/100
Kalshi rank
#1,135

Profit over time

+$4.7K-$1.3K
Nov 23Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1586%12%+6 pts
20 to 40¢7231%17%-13 pts
40 to 60¢3847%32%-14 pts
60 to 80¢1370%71%+2 pts
Over 80¢993%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $19737%-$162
$19 to $377315%+$613
$37 to $917212%-$1.2K
$91 to $2.0K7254%+$5.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports7100%+$3.4K
Culture10%-$502

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied franciscoErgu

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$3357
Profit
on $5900 staked
21-38
Record
36% win rate
+57%
Return
121 still open
Profit over time59 settled trades
+$3.4K-$1.4K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
568% below peak
2.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.88×
Profit factor
$7.2K won vs $3.8K lost
+2.1 pts
Edge vs implied
36% won at 33¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
32 trades

By category

sports5 settled+69%
other53 settled+59%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

107 open positions worth $6.8K

The markets franciscoErgu is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what franciscoErgu is holding

Recent positions

Robelis Despaigne wins
Sep 20, avg 93¢
BUYYES$930+$70
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 19, avg 79¢
BUYYES$1.7K+$435
yes Tigres,yes Los Angeles D,yes Oregon,yes Over 69.5 points scored
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 36¢
BUYYES$96Open
See every position across 189 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Los Angeles R vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins?
    $2.9K on Yes, Aug 28
    +$3.0K
  2. 2
    yes Buffalo,yes Josh Allen: 225+,yes Josh Allen: 15+,yes James Cook III: 50+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 50+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Over 54.5 points scored
    $141 on Yes, Sep 18
    +$998
  3. 3
    Baltimore at Pittsburgh Winner?
    $443 on Yes, Jan 5
    +$988
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Los Angeles R vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game: Los Angeles R wins?8100%+$3.1K
San Francisco vs Las Vegas Pro Football game: San Francisco wins?3100%+$359
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1100%+$435
New York vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game: PIT Steelers wins?4+$0
yes Las Vegas,yes Cincinnati,yes Pittsburgh,yes New England,yes San Francisco2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$190
Dec 2025-$553
Jan 2026+$86
Feb 2026-$123
Jun 2026+$140
Jul 2026-$378
Aug 2026+$2.4K
Sep 2026+$3.4K

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