rivomarkets

fresh.debt

+$16.0K
Tracked Trades
1,123
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Aug 31, 2026
Followers
3

fresh.debt is a Kalshi trader with 1,123 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 79 wins and 115 losses on settled markets, $16.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Aug 31.

Win rate
41%
Return on settled
+109%
Money traded
$145.1K
Typical trade
$24
Copy score
34/100
Kalshi rank
#472

Profit over time

+$16.0K+$0
Aug 22Aug 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢19312%8%-3 pts
20 to 40¢12130%64%+35 pts
40 to 60¢5748%0%-48 pts
60 to 80¢30872%35%-37 pts
Over 80¢44488%79%-9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $528120%-$73
$5 to $2428143%-$187
$24 to $9428143%-$1.4K
$94 to $3.7K28068%+$17.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Crypto62100%+$11.6K

Side taken

Yes 52%48% No

If you had copied fresh.debt

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3926
Profit
on $19400 staked
79-115
Record
41% win rate
-20%
Return
118 still open
Profit over time194 settled trades
+$2.8K-$3.9K
Aug 17Aug 24
-$9.5K
Max drawdown
186% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.66×
Profit factor
$7.6K won vs $11.5K lost
-13.4 pts
Edge vs implied
41% won at 54¢ avg
Longest losing streak
41
Deepest drawdown
170 trades

By category

crypto5 settled+415%
other189 settled-32%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

48 open positions worth $7.8K

The markets fresh.debt is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fresh.debt is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Aug 31, avg 85¢
SELLYES$850Open
KXBTCD-26AUG3100-T77499.99
Aug 31, avg 73¢
SELLYES$525Open
KXBTCD-26AUG3100-T77899.99
Aug 31, avg 12¢
SELLNO$2.4KOpen
See every position across 126 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $567 on No, Aug 22
    +$7.5K
  2. 2
    KXBTCD-26AUG2200-T78699.99
    $800 on No, Aug 22
    +$3.2K
  3. 3
    KXBTC-26AUG2200-B78550
    $674 on No, Aug 22
    +$2.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?25053%+$7.5K
Bitcoin price on Aug 24, 2026?36836%+$954
Bitcoin price on Aug 27, 2026?5215%+$1.4K
Bitcoin price on Aug 25, 2026?14533%+$579
Bitcoin price on Aug 23, 2026?260%-$33

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 3Aug 31

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$16.0K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy fresh.debt on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.