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Stats as of

solar.alpaca4197

+$9.2K
Tracked Trades
1,435
First Seen
Aug 22, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Tennis
88% won · 1,146 settled · +$10.5K

solar.alpaca4197 is a Kalshi trader with 1,435 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,002 wins and 145 losses on settled markets, $9.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Daniele Augenti wins on Nov 3.

Win rate
87%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$1.1M
Typical trade
$198.06
Avg entry
94¢
Kalshi rank
#889

Profit over time

+$28.7K-$756.00
Aug 22Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1446%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢6831%31%+1 pts
40 to 60¢7950%47%-3 pts
60 to 80¢11972%68%-4 pts
Over 80¢102593%92%-1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $8035971%-$212.01
$80 to $19835987%-$662.77
$199 to $39035994%-$661.75
$391 to $20K35890%+$10.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis139888%+$10.7K
NFL1667%+$76.11
College football1556%-$1.8K
Baseball6100%+$242.42

Side taken

Yes 80%20% No

If you had copied solar.alpaca4197

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,762.51
Profit
on $99,000.00 staked
879-111
Record
89% win rate
-2%
Return
Profit over time990 settled trades
+$390.05-$1.8K
Aug 17Nov 2
-$2.3K
Max drawdown
506% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.84×
Profit factor
$9.3K won vs $11.1K lost
-1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
89% won at 90¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
739 trades

By category

other143 settled+1%
sports825 settled-2%
culture22 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Daniele Augenti wins
Nov 3, 9 fills
Yes74¢$144.45+$50.86
Raffael Gasanov wins
Nov 3, 8 fills
Sold Nosold 63¢$257.98Exited
Raffael Gasanov wins
Nov 3, 8 fills
Yes97¢$398.09-$398.09
See every position across 931 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Veronika Podrez wins
    $15.4K on Yes at 86¢, Aug 25
    +$2.5K
  2. 2
    Rinky Hijikata wins
    $23.8K on Yes at 92¢, Aug 25
    +$2.0K
  3. 3
    Susan Bandecchi wins
    $24.2K on Yes at 93¢, Aug 25
    +$1.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Rinky Hijikata wins93¢6100%+$2.2K
Julia Grabher wins97¢567%+$293.95
Susan Bandecchi wins93¢567%+$1.4K
Ryuki Matsuda wins97¢2100%+$522.50
Bianca Andreescu wins98¢7100%+$494.33

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$15.8K
Sep 2026+$568.58
Oct 2026-$6.0K
Nov 2026-$1.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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