rivomarkets
Kalshi

Hotcakes808

hotcakes808

+$9.2K
Tracked Trades
909
First Seen
Jul 14, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 18, 2026
Followers
136

Hotcakes808 is a Kalshi trader with 909 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 189 wins and 447 losses on settled markets, $9.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Los Angeles A wins on Sep 18.

Win rate
30%
Return on settled
+16%
Money traded
$127.6K
Typical trade
$56
Copy score
26/100
Kalshi rank
#723

Profit over time

+$12.9K-$3.5K
Jul 14Sep 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2977%15%+8 pts
20 to 40¢22130%32%+3 pts
40 to 60¢27047%38%-9 pts
60 to 80¢5670%31%-39 pts
Over 80¢6596%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1222836%-$20
$12 to $5622736%+$3.2K
$56 to $14022718%+$4.3K
$140 to $4.6K22727%+$1.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1930%-$1.6K
Culture2100%+$805

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied Hotcakes808

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$17542
Profit
on $63600 staked
189-447
Record
30% win rate
+28%
Return
90 still open
Profit over time636 settled trades
+$17.5K-$3.9K
Jul 13Aug 31
-$8.9K
Max drawdown
320% below peak
2.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.39×
Profit factor
$62.2K won vs $44.7K lost
-2.3 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
42
Deepest drawdown
334 trades

By category

other625 settled+28%
sports10 settled-15%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

78 open positions worth $7.3K

The markets Hotcakes808 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Hotcakes808 is holding

Recent positions

Los Angeles A wins
Sep 18, avg 68¢
SELLNO$566Open
New York M wins first 5 innings by over 1.5 runs?
Sep 18, avg 85¢
SELLNO$850Open
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 16, avg 44¢
SELLNO$1.3KOpen
See every position across 399 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    St. Louis wins
    $1.1K on Yes, Sep 3
    +$5.5K
  2. 2
    yes Boston,yes Detroit wins by over 6.5 runs,no Seattle wins by over 4.5 runs,no San Diego wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Over 8.5 runs scored
    $93 on Yes, Aug 2
    +$3.4K
  3. 3
    yes Philadelphia,yes Boston,yes Miami,yes Houston,yes Kansas City,yes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles D,no Milwaukee wins by over 3.5 runs
    $93 on Yes, Aug 21
    +$3.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points4+$0
St. Louis wins1289%+$4.7K
yes Los Angeles A,yes A's,yes Seattle,yes Pittsburgh,yes San Francisco,yes Over 3.5 runs scored2+$0
Colorado wins2184%+$1.6K
Los Angeles A wins110%-$842

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 21Sep 18

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$749
Aug 2026-$2.3K
Sep 2026+$12.2K

Similar Kalshi traders

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