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Stats as of

Nomads

nomads

-$3.9K
Tracked Trades
5,496
First Seen
Aug 12, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026

This trader is a closer

53% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Nomads is a Kalshi trader with 5,496 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,455 wins and 519 losses on settled markets, -$3.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 4.

Win rate
74%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$2.5M
Typical trade
$3.04
Avg entry
95¢
Kalshi rank
#3,980

Profit over time

+$5.4K-$4.4K
Aug 12Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢29263%2%-1 pts
20 to 40¢32231%26%-5 pts
40 to 60¢15149%26%-23 pts
60 to 80¢23971%74%+3 pts
Over 80¢185896%98%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1137418%-$6.07
$1 to $3137453%-$99.63
$3 to $25137479%-$308.96
$25 to $20K137492%-$3.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin547074%-$4.0K
Ethereum18100%+$20.07
Commodities5+$0.00
Parlays30%-$2.76

Side taken

Yes 53%47% No

If you had copied Nomads

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$3,541.99
Profit
on $70,300.00 staked
575-128
Record
82% win rate
-5%
Return
Profit over time703 settled trades
+$0.00-$3.8K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
5056% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.72×
Profit factor
$9.3K won vs $12.8K lost
-1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
82% won at 83¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
561 trades

By category

crypto391 settled-5%
other312 settled-6%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4, 22 fills
No0¢sold 0¢$0.04-$0.04
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4, 29 fills
Yes0¢sold 0¢$0.28-$0.28
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 4
No100¢$2.6K+$2.60
See every position across 744 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $10.0K on Yes at 76¢, Sep 18
    +$3.2K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $14.9K on Yes at 82¢, Sep 18
    +$3.2K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $2.0K on No at 45¢, Oct 22
    +$2.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?95¢547074%-$4.0K
ETH price up in next 15 mins?95¢18100%+$20.07
Gold price up in next 15 mins?5+$0.00
no Target Price: $64,412.86,no Target Price: $0.0703772,yes Target Price: $1,908.91,yes Target Price: $75.9263,yes Target Price: $1.00150¢10%-$0.93
yes Target Price: $64,412.86,no Target Price: $0.0703772,no Target Price: $1,908.91,no Target Price: $75.9263,yes Target Price: $1.00154¢10%-$0.92

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$195.78
Sep 2026+$3.1K
Oct 2026-$7.8K
Nov 2026+$616.41

Kalshi leaderboards

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