rivomarkets

Michael78th

michael78th

+$385
Tracked Trades
358
First Seen
Jul 3, 2026
Last Trade
Aug 27, 2026
Followers
11

Michael78th is a Kalshi trader with 358 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 91 wins and 122 losses on settled markets, $385 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMLBGAME-26AUG271907KCTOR-TOR on Aug 27.

Win rate
43%
Return on settled
+0%
Money traded
$140.7K
Typical trade
$87
Copy score
36/100
Kalshi rank
#2,525

Profit over time

+$6.9K-$7.6K
Jul 3Aug 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢829%3%-5 pts
20 to 40¢5529%20%-8 pts
40 to 60¢7248%45%-3 pts
60 to 80¢8070%68%-3 pts
Over 80¢6987%100%+13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $79019%-$183
$7 to $889056%+$169
$95 to $4638944%-$344
$471 to $6.0K8952%+$743

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports567%+$631
Culture1100%+$391

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied Michael78th

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3281
Profit
on $21300 staked
91-122
Record
43% win rate
-15%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time213 settled trades
+$0-$5.5K
Jun 29Aug 24
-$5.7K
Max drawdown
2933% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.73×
Profit factor
$8.9K won vs $12.2K lost
-2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 45¢ avg
Longest losing streak
26
Deepest drawdown
96 trades

By category

other209 settled-17%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $15

The markets Michael78th is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Michael78th is holding

Recent positions

KXMLBGAME-26AUG271907KCTOR-TOR
Aug 27, 2 fills, avg 50¢
BUYYES$4.4K-$4.4K
yes Boston,yes Tampa Bay,yes Washington,yes Chicago C,yes Minnesota,yes Cincinnati,yes Chicago WS,yes Philadelphia,yes San Diego
Aug 24, avg 1¢
BUYYES$15Open
New York M wins
Aug 23, 4 fills, avg 48¢
BUYYES$1.9K-$1.9K
See every position across 73 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Flavio Cobolli win the Jodar vs Cobolli: Round Of 16 match?
    $2.2K on Yes, Aug 19
    +$3.9K
  2. 2
    A's vs Houston Winner?
    $5.9K on Yes, Aug 22
    +$2.6K
  3. 3
    Will Daniel Milavsky win the Butvilas vs Milavsky: Round Of 16 match?
    $2.4K on Yes, Aug 13
    +$2.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
A's vs Houston Winner?9100%+$2.6K
Argentina vs Cape Verde: To Advance170%-$1.4K
Will Harold Mayot win the Purcell vs Mayot: Round Of 16 match?11100%+$797
Will Moise Kouame win the Meligeni Alves vs Kouame: Round Of 32 match?12100%+$1.3K
Will Yushan Shao win the Yuan vs Shao: W15 Tianjin Semifinal match?100%-$2.6K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

May 30Aug 27

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$227
Aug 2026+$158

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy Michael78th on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.