rivomarkets

ProfitBased

profitbased

+$383
Tracked Trades
399
First Seen
Jan 29, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
60

ProfitBased is a Kalshi trader with 399 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 31 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, $383 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Alejandro Moro Canas wins on Sep 20.

Win rate
20%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$31.4K
Typical trade
$14
Copy score
13/100
Kalshi rank
#2,525

Profit over time

+$1.7K-$147
Jan 29Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢14310%22%+12 pts
20 to 40¢9229%20%-9 pts
40 to 60¢8949%8%-42 pts
60 to 80¢5766%100%+34 pts
Over 80¢1886%75%-11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $310012%-$4
$3 to $1410021%+$129
$14 to $4710017%-$150
$47 to $1.9K9948%+$408

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1080%+$237
Culture1100%+$966

Side taken

Yes 92%8% No

If you had copied ProfitBased

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3750
Profit
on $13100 staked
24-107
Record
18% win rate
-29%
Return
155 still open
Profit over time131 settled trades
+$2.9K-$3.8K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$7.7K
Max drawdown
247% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.65×
Profit factor
$6.9K won vs $10.7K lost
-15.3 pts
Edge vs implied
18% won at 34¢ avg
Longest losing streak
69
Deepest drawdown
91 trades

By category

sports5 settled+31%
other125 settled-32%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

79 open positions worth $11.5K

The markets ProfitBased is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ProfitBased is holding

Recent positions

Alejandro Moro Canas wins
Sep 20, avg 80¢
SELLNO$854Open
KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26SEP20CANMOR-MOR
Sep 20, avg 55¢
BUYYES$815Open
Alexandre Pantoja wins
Sep 20, 2 fills, avg 91¢
SELLNO$2.2KOpen
See every position across 172 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Liudmila Samsonova wins
    $966 on Yes, Sep 18
    +$966
  2. 2
    Luis Hernandez wins
    $552 on Yes, Sep 15
    +$598
  3. 3
    San Diego wins
    $779 on Yes, Sep 13
    +$498
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Alexandre Pantoja wins30%-$1.4K
France vs England: To Advance4+$0
yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D,yes Tampa Bay20%-$380
Parlay: Los Angeles D + Toronto + San Diego + Arizona1+$0
Liudmila Samsonova wins5100%+$966

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$5
Feb 2026-$133
Apr 2026-$9
May 2026+$336
Jun 2026-$232
Jul 2026-$61
Aug 2026+$328
Sep 2026+$160

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy ProfitBased on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.