rivomarkets
Kalshi

MorwynKeier

morwynkeier

+$180
Tracked Trades
437
First Seen
Mar 29, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 18, 2026
Followers
1

MorwynKeier is a Kalshi trader with 437 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 69 wins and 156 losses on settled markets, $180 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 18.

Win rate
31%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$23.4K
Typical trade
$25
Copy score
18/100
Kalshi rank
#2,711

Profit over time

+$1.3K-$1.7K
Mar 29Sep 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1359%17%+8 pts
20 to 40¢11029%37%+7 pts
40 to 60¢17546%36%-10 pts
60 to 80¢1163%17%-47 pts
Over 80¢690%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $911019%-$89
$9 to $2510943%+$1.1K
$26 to $7110926%+$317
$72 to $2.1K10936%-$1.2K

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied MorwynKeier

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$5184
Profit
on $8500 staked
22-63
Record
26% win rate
+61%
Return
14 still open
Profit over time85 settled trades
+$5.2K-$2.3K
Aug 3Sep 14
-$3.9K
Max drawdown
1901% below peak
1.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.82×
Profit factor
$11.5K won vs $6.3K lost
-8.9 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 35¢ avg
Longest losing streak
18
Deepest drawdown
67 trades

By category

other85 settled+61%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

13 open positions worth $678

The markets MorwynKeier is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what MorwynKeier is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 18, avg 86¢
SELLNO$2.1KOpen
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+ touchdowns
Sep 18, 2 fills, avg 37¢
BUYYES$144+$247
Buffalo wins by over 5.5 points?
Sep 17, avg 50¢
BUYYES$97+$97
See every position across 250 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Texas win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?
    $188 on Yes, Sep 13
    +$1.4K
  2. 2
    San Diego vs Boston Winner?
    $94 on Yes, Apr 5
    +$846
  3. 3
    yes Buffalo,yes Josh Allen: 2+,yes Jared Goff: 3+,yes Josh Allen: 225+,yes Josh Allen: 30+,yes James Cook III: 80+,yes Josh Allen: 1+,yes James Cook III: 1+,yes Over 54.5 points scored
    $9 on Yes, Sep 17
    +$710
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
Will New York Y win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?7+$0
Will Ohio St. win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?20%-$482
Will UConn win the College Basketball National Championship?30%-$544
Paul Skenes: 7+ strikeouts?1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 21Sep 18

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$105
Apr 2026-$586
May 2026+$403
Aug 2026-$96
Sep 2026+$354

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