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Stats as of

lucastrades26

+$351.42
Tracked Trades
222
First Seen
Mar 26, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In NFL
40% won · 15 settled · +$1.4K

lucastrades26 is a Kalshi trader with 222 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 56 wins and 94 losses on settled markets, $351.42 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNCAAF-27-LSU on Oct 31.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$39.1K
Typical trade
$94.65
Avg entry
29¢
Kalshi rank
#3,136

Profit over time

+$2.0K-$340.00
Mar 26Oct 24

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4210%4%-6 pts
20 to 40¢6730%33%+3 pts
40 to 60¢6249%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢2867%52%-14 pts
Over 80¢2396%100%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $385620%-$174.69
$38 to $955634%+$56.12
$95 to $2755547%+$133.67
$276 to $1.1K5555%+$336.32

Categories

TradesWonProfit
College football3743%-$195.36
Bitcoin5838%-$559.95
Parlays4339%+$872.65
Tennis3431%-$835.20
NFL2040%+$1.4K
Commodities940%-$95.02

Side taken

Yes 87%13% No

If you had copied lucastrades26

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$354.58
Profit
on $9,600.00 staked
42-54
Record
44% win rate
+4%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time96 settled trades
+$899.84-$666.18
Aug 24Oct 19
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
184% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07×
Profit factor
$5.8K won vs $5.4K lost
+3.5 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 40¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
48 trades

By category

other17 settled+41%
crypto24 settled+12%
sports54 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.9K

The markets lucastrades26 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lucastrades26 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Virginia wins by over 6.5 points
Oct 24
Yes46¢$481.79-$481.79
Virginia wins 1H by over 2.5 points
Oct 23, 3 fills
Yes48¢$240.25+$260.27
Jan-Lennard Struff wins
Oct 23, 5 fills
Yes61¢sold 57¢$577.87+$368.49
See every position across 110 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?
    $560.94 on Yes at 26¢, Sep 10
    +$1.6K
  2. 2
    yes Buffalo,yes Green Bay,yes San Francisco
    $398.63 on Yes at 27¢, Oct 18
    +$1.1K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $310.18 on Yes at 30¢, Oct 20
    +$723.75
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?40¢5739%-$513.14
Will LSU win the College Football Playoff National Championship?8¢7+$0.00
Will Ohio St. win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?47¢30%-$546.72
yes Buffalo,yes Green Bay,yes San Francisco27¢2100%+$1.1K
What will Donald Trump say during Cabinet Meeting?43¢867%+$277.84

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$447.09
Apr 2026-$93.52
May 2026-$159.99
Aug 2026+$122.10
Sep 2026-$513.63
Oct 2026+$549.37

Kalshi leaderboards

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