rivomarkets

lucastrades26

+$181
Tracked Trades
151
First Seen
Mar 26, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 13, 2026
Followers
3

lucastrades26 is a Kalshi trader with 151 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 19 wins and 30 losses on settled markets, $181 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Sep 13.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$29.7K
Typical trade
$32
Copy score
33/100
Kalshi rank
#2,710

Profit over time

+$316-$1.3K
Mar 26Sep 13

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2510%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢2527%17%-10 pts
40 to 60¢5150%67%+17 pts
60 to 80¢3566%50%-16 pts
Over 80¢1589%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $63846%-$18
$6 to $323818%-$138
$33 to $1283820%-$373
$133 to $4.5K3760%+$710

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1550%+$1.1K
Crypto1100%+$365
Culture10%-$570

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied lucastrades26

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$730
Profit
on $4000 staked
19-21
Record
48% win rate
-18%
Return
22 still open
Profit over time40 settled trades
+$20-$730
Aug 24Sep 7
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
224% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.65×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $2.1K lost
-0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 48¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
19 trades

By category

other36 settled-24%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $2.3K

The markets lucastrades26 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lucastrades26 is holding

Recent positions

BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Sep 13, avg 61¢
BUYYES$571+$365
Will Ohio St. win the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game?
Sep 12, avg 46¢
BUYYES$500-$500
Philip Sekulic wins
Sep 10, 2 fills, avg 58¢
BUYYES$191+$138
See every position across 40 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?
    $561 on Yes, Sep 10
    +$1.6K
  2. 2
    Seiya Nakanishi wins
    $622 on Yes, Sep 8
    +$369
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $571 on Yes, Sep 13
    +$365
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will LSU win the College Football Playoff National Championship?14+$0
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points?100%-$538
Seiya Nakanishi wins12100%+$369
Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >98.99 on Mar 27, 2026?9+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?250%+$364

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 16Sep 13

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$345
Apr 2026-$94
May 2026-$160
Sep 2026+$780

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy lucastrades26 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.