rivomarkets
Kalshi

rough.loon4823

+$736
Tracked Trades
430
First Seen
Jul 5, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
4

rough.loon4823 is a Kalshi trader with 430 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 26 wins and 223 losses on settled markets, $736 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes CIN Bengals,yes KC Chiefs,yes LA Rams,yes MIA Dolphins,yes NE Patriots,yes DET Lions on Sep 20.

Win rate
10%
Return on settled
+27%
Money traded
$11.4K
Typical trade
$3
Copy score
7/100
Kalshi rank
#2,285

Profit over time

+$918+$0
Jul 5Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3404%5%+1 pts
20 to 40¢4132%44%+12 pts
40 to 60¢2447%45%-2 pts
60 to 80¢277%
Over 80¢2395%0%-95 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $11083%-$7
$1 to $31082%-$53
$3 to $910716%+$259
$9 to $2.1K10727%+$537

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied rough.loon4823

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3286
Profit
on $24900 staked
26-223
Record
10% win rate
-13%
Return
148 still open
Profit over time249 settled trades
+$8.7K-$3.3K
Jun 29Sep 14
-$13.3K
Max drawdown
133% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.85×
Profit factor
$19.0K won vs $22.3K lost
+1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
10% won at 9¢ avg
Longest losing streak
45
Deepest drawdown
228 trades

By category

other249 settled-13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

98 open positions worth $1.5K

The markets rough.loon4823 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what rough.loon4823 is holding

Recent positions

no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored
Sep 20, avg 86¢
SELLNO$1.8KOpen
New Mexico wins
Sep 20, 4 fills, avg 17¢
BUYYES$93-$93
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Sep 20, avg 91¢
SELLNO$1.6KOpen
See every position across 182 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins?
    $464 on Yes, Sep 14
    +$503
  2. 2
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $84 on Yes, Sep 11
    +$459
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $9 on No, Aug 29
    +$337
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Graham Platner remains the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine before Aug 1, 2026?29+$0
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored2+$0
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored1+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?2067%+$235
Gold price up in next 15 mins?4822%+$226

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$32
Aug 2026+$317
Sep 2026+$387

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