rivomarkets

simple.kestrel2911

-$1.9K
Tracked Trades
901
First Seen
Mar 18, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 16, 2026
Followers
10

simple.kestrel2911 is a Kalshi trader with 901 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 142 wins and 125 losses on settled markets, -$1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Buffalo,yes Tampa Bay,yes Kansas City,yes Jacksonville,yes Las Vegas,yes San Francisco,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore,yes Dallas on Sep 16.

Win rate
53%
Return on settled
-7%
Money traded
$92.1K
Typical trade
$48
Copy score
51/100
Kalshi rank
#3,244

Profit over time

+$2.6K-$4.0K
Mar 18Sep 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1639%17%+8 pts
20 to 40¢18231%46%+15 pts
40 to 60¢33250%56%+6 pts
60 to 80¢11768%66%-2 pts
Over 80¢10789%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1222665%+$109
$12 to $4822540%-$38
$48 to $11322560%+$1.8K
$114 to $1.9K22547%-$3.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2100%+$636

Side taken

Yes 72%28% No

If you had copied simple.kestrel2911

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2939
Profit
on $11900 staked
71-48
Record
60% win rate
+25%
Return
211 still open
Profit over time119 settled trades
+$2.9K-$1.1K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
2.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.61×
Profit factor
$7.7K won vs $4.8K lost
+12.3 pts
Edge vs implied
60% won at 47¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
19 trades

By category

other118 settled+24%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

151 open positions worth $19.1K

The markets simple.kestrel2911 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what simple.kestrel2911 is holding

Recent positions

yes Buffalo,yes Tampa Bay,yes Kansas City,yes Jacksonville,yes Las Vegas,yes San Francisco,yes Chicago,yes Baltimore,yes Dallas
Sep 16, avg 2¢
BUYYES$9Open
yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes MIA Dolphins,yes DET Lions
Sep 16, avg 46¢
BUYYES$1.9KOpen
yes Milwaukee,yes Philadelphia,yes New York Y
Sep 15, avg 28¢
BUYYES$260-$260
See every position across 455 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXNFLGAME-26SEP13CHICAR-CHI
    $1.9K on Yes, Sep 12
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    Will San Antonio vs New York be the matchup in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Finals?
    $684 on Yes, May 19
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    Houston vs Los Angeles L 2026 1st Round series winner?
    $971 on Yes, Apr 24
    +$703
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes SF 49ers,yes JAC Jaguars,yes GB Packers,yes PIT Steelers,yes IND Colts,yes BAL Ravens,yes BUF Bills,yes MIA Dolphins,yes DET Lions30%-$951
Game 6: Denver at Minnesota Winner?30%-$1.4K
New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs?2986%+$711
Cleveland vs New York Y Winner?20%-$1.2K
2026-27 Championship Game Matchup: Buffalo vs Chicago22+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 19Sep 16

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$227
Apr 2026+$1.2K
May 2026+$1.5K
Jun 2026-$4.8K
Jul 2026-$441
Aug 2026-$401
Sep 2026+$1.2K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy simple.kestrel2911 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.