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Stats as of

katana33

-$5.5K
Tracked Trades
300
First Seen
Feb 1, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 5, 2026

katana33 is a Kalshi trader with 300 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 73 wins and 170 losses on settled markets, -$5.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KBRZDG4KEYSD3WNQ-UPGCINE32 on Nov 5.

Win rate
30%
Return on settled
-9%
Money traded
$78.0K
Typical trade
$129.12
Avg entry
16¢
Kalshi rank
#4,021

Profit over time

+$664.00-$11.7K
Feb 1Nov 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1209%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢7030%33%+3 pts
40 to 60¢7450%41%-10 pts
60 to 80¢2567%68%+1 pts
Over 80¢1190%80%-10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $557521%-$720.73
$56 to $1257530%-$1.6K
$133 to $3557533%+$3.4K
$359 to $3.3K7535%-$6.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis12046%-$2.4K
Parlays10110%-$2.1K
Soccer5325%-$6.0K
College football780%+$3.4K
US elections2100%+$664.61
NBA567%+$481.02

Side taken

Yes 97%3% No

If you had copied katana33

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$3,320.93
Profit
on $14,700.00 staked
46-101
Record
31% win rate
-23%
Return
Profit over time147 settled trades
+$0.00-$3.8K
Aug 3Nov 2
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.67×
Profit factor
$6.8K won vs $10.1K lost
-4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
31% won at 35¢ avg
Longest losing streak
24
Deepest drawdown
68 trades

By category

sports83 settled-3%
other61 settled-49%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KBRZDG4KEYSD3WNQ-UPGCINE32
Nov 5
Yes23¢$569.34-$569.34
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026H2JI5IBYGEXXLMVJ-UFTHWKCZO
Nov 4
Yes12¢$819.15-$819.15
KXATPCHALLENGERMATCH-26NOV03CECCOM-COM
Nov 4, 2 fills
Yes53¢sold 28¢$558.74-$558.74
See every position across 215 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes England,yes Ghana,yes Mexico,yes Switzerland
    $279.43 on Yes at 8¢, Jun 17
    +$3.3K
  2. 2
    yes Bayern Munich,yes Galatasaray
    $473.75 on Yes at 18¢, Nov 2
    +$2.1K
  3. 3
    yes Washington,yes Dallas,yes El Paso Locomotive FC
    $256.00 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 31
    +$2.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Iowa wins56¢2100%+$1.5K
Will Democrats win the U.S. Senate in 2026?74¢2100%+$664.61
Arsenal vs Chelsea Winner?21¢10%-$1.9K
yes England,yes Ghana,yes Mexico,yes Switzerland8¢2100%+$3.3K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20268FCDCCF931E-14D3888FC0C1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 8Nov 5

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$3.3K
Mar 2026-$593.42
May 2026-$986.08
Jun 2026+$79.00
Jul 2026-$1.4K
Aug 2026-$783.59
Sep 2026-$4.4K
Oct 2026+$9.4K
Nov 2026-$3.5K

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