rivomarkets

smooth.magpie3859

+$374
Tracked Trades
271
First Seen
Jun 28, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
3

smooth.magpie3859 is a Kalshi trader with 271 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 53 wins and 24 losses on settled markets, $374 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will New York Y score over 3.5 runs? on Sep 20.

Win rate
69%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$55.0K
Typical trade
$100
Copy score
58/100
Kalshi rank
#3,272

Profit over time

+$625-$4.9K
Jul 9Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢154%
20 to 40¢1131%0%-31 pts
40 to 60¢18153%65%+11 pts
60 to 80¢3865%93%+28 pts
Over 80¢2591%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $236875%+$62
$24 to $1006861%+$116
$103 to $1996780%+$889
$202 to $3.0K6766%-$693

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1655%-$1.1K
Culture10%-$1.5K

Side taken

Yes 77%23% No

If you had copied smooth.magpie3859

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1812
Profit
on $7700 staked
53-24
Record
69% win rate
+24%
Return
134 still open
Profit over time77 settled trades
+$1.8K-$300
Jun 22Sep 14
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
169% below peak
1.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.76×
Profit factor
$4.2K won vs $2.4K lost
+12.8 pts
Edge vs implied
69% won at 56¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
17 trades

By category

other65 settled+30%
sports11 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

86 open positions worth $17.3K

The markets smooth.magpie3859 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what smooth.magpie3859 is holding

Recent positions

Will New York Y score over 3.5 runs?
Sep 20, 7 fills, avg 56¢
BUYYES$497+$398
Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs?
Sep 20, 9 fills, avg 47¢
BUYYES$1.8K+$2.1K
Miami wins
Sep 20, avg 41¢
BUYYES$960-$960
See every position across 124 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Philadelphia wins by over 1.5 runs?
    $1.8K on Yes, Sep 20
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    Seattle wins
    $1.8K on Yes, Sep 17
    +$1.7K
  3. 3
    San Diego wins by over 1.5 runs?
    $1.5K on Yes, Sep 17
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Arizona wins60%-$3.5K
Toronto wins2100%+$1.4K
Seattle wins2100%+$2.1K
Will both teams score?17+$0
Parlay: New York Y + Atlanta over 2.5 runs scored20%-$1.9K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$251
Aug 2026+$311
Sep 2026+$314

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy smooth.magpie3859 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.