rivomarkets
Kalshi

theguy559

+$375
Tracked Trades
480
First Seen
May 30, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
14

theguy559 is a Kalshi trader with 480 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 68 wins and 52 losses on settled markets, $375 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 20.

Win rate
57%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$9.0K
Typical trade
$8
Copy score
43/100
Kalshi rank
#2,524

Profit over time

+$375+$0
May 30Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1259%8%-1 pts
20 to 40¢10629%25%-4 pts
40 to 60¢14050%61%+11 pts
60 to 80¢5268%77%+9 pts
Over 80¢5788%91%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $512031%-$12
$5 to $812052%+$108
$8 to $1412062%+$40
$14 to $1.3K12068%+$239

Side taken

Yes 69%31% No

If you had copied theguy559

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2362
Profit
on $8000 staked
43-37
Record
54% win rate
+30%
Return
144 still open
Profit over time80 settled trades
+$2.4K-$1.2K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$1.3K
Max drawdown
1717% below peak
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.64×
Profit factor
$6.1K won vs $3.7K lost
+4.3 pts
Edge vs implied
54% won at 49¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
60 trades

By category

other80 settled+30%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

132 open positions worth $1.6K

The markets theguy559 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what theguy559 is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 95¢
SELLNO$1.3KOpen
Louisville wins by over 2.5 points
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 51¢
BUYYES$14+$14
Tie is the result
Sep 19, avg 34¢
BUYYES$2-$2
See every position across 303 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Justin Gaethje win the Topuria vs Gaethje professional MMA fight scheduled for Jun 14, 2026?
    $68 on Yes, Jun 15
    +$149
  2. 2
    yes Milwaukee,yes Cleveland,yes New York M,yes Texas,yes Atlanta,yes Seattle,yes Washington,yes San Diego,yes Los Angeles D
    $5 on Yes, Sep 19
    +$129
  3. 3
    USA vs Paraguay Winner?
    $77 on Yes, Jun 12
    +$87
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points1+$0
yes Mexico advances,yes USA advances2+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?2750%-$97
yes Senegal advances,yes Congo DR advances,yes USA advances,yes Norway advances,yes France advances,yes Mexico advances2+$0
yes Lloyd Harris,yes Rei Sakamoto,yes San Francisco,yes Susan Bandecchi,yes Ann Li,yes Bianca Andreescu2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

May 2026+$18
Jun 2026+$278
Jul 2026-$60
Aug 2026-$40
Sep 2026+$178

Similar Kalshi traders

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Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.

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