rivomarkets
Kalshi

sophisticated.loon9954

+$5.4K
Tracked Trades
499
First Seen
Jun 26, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
50

sophisticated.loon9954 is a Kalshi trader with 499 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 62 wins and 155 losses on settled markets, $5.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Ole Miss win the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game? on Sep 20.

Win rate
29%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$479.0K
Typical trade
$287
Copy score
23/100
Kalshi rank
#1,036

Profit over time

+$39.8K-$10.2K
Jul 4Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2666%6%+0 pts
20 to 40¢6629%24%-5 pts
40 to 60¢6751%68%+16 pts
60 to 80¢4368%83%+15 pts
Over 80¢5490%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $9612446%-$1.0K
$97 to $28612418%-$488
$288 to $92912418%-$1.1K
$930 to $14K12433%+$8.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports6100%+$1.2K
Culture10%-$1.7K

Side taken

Yes 83%17% No

If you had copied sophisticated.loon9954

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3820
Profit
on $21700 staked
62-155
Record
29% win rate
-18%
Return
196 still open
Profit over time217 settled trades
+$0-$3.8K
Jun 22Sep 14
-$5.0K
Max drawdown
464% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.75×
Profit factor
$11.7K won vs $15.5K lost
+2.9 pts
Edge vs implied
29% won at 26¢ avg
Longest losing streak
27
Deepest drawdown
143 trades

By category

other215 settled-18%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

176 open positions worth $63.6K

The markets sophisticated.loon9954 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what sophisticated.loon9954 is holding

Recent positions

Will Ole Miss win the LSU vs Ole Miss college football game?
Sep 20, avg 61¢
BUYYES$1.9K+$1.2K
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 77¢
SELLNO$1.4KOpen
Parlay: LSU + Mississippi St.
Sep 20, avg 47¢
BUYYES$875Open
See every position across 354 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Jakub Mensik,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp
    $9.6K on Yes, Aug 5
    +$12.3K
  2. 2
    yes Titouan Droguet,yes Tommy Paul,yes Learner Tien,yes Alexandra Eala
    $4.0K on Yes, Aug 6
    +$8.0K
  3. 3
    yes Hubert Hurkacz,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Thiago Agustin Tirante
    $2.6K on Yes, Aug 5
    +$7.3K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Jakub Mensik,yes Botic Van de Zandschulp3100%+$12.3K
yes Jaime Faria,yes Learner Tien30%-$6.4K
yes Nuno Borges,yes Rafael Jodar,yes Brandon Nakashima,yes Marta Kostyuk,yes Anastasia Potapova20%-$937
yes Titouan Droguet,yes Tommy Paul,yes Learner Tien,yes Alexandra Eala2100%+$8.0K
yes Ben Shelton,yes Iva Jovic,yes Leylah Fernandez,yes Coco Gauff,yes Elina Svitolina20%-$2.8K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$2.2K
Aug 2026+$9.2K
Sep 2026-$1.6K

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