rivomarkets

the.real.winner

+$17.7K
Tracked Trades
2,613
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 12, 2026
Followers
14

the.real.winner is a Kalshi trader with 2,613 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 812 wins and 380 losses on settled markets, $17.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BYU wins on Sep 12.

Win rate
68%
Return on settled
+23%
Money traded
$183.9K
Typical trade
$6
Copy score
65/100
Kalshi rank
#432

Profit over time

+$18.1K-$9.7K
Aug 22Sep 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢28710%18%+8 pts
20 to 40¢33630%51%+21 pts
40 to 60¢35951%58%+7 pts
60 to 80¢42670%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢86791%95%+4 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $156972%+$28
$1 to $656972%+$104
$6 to $2856971%+$316
$28 to $6.6K56865%+$16.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports4663%+$14.9K
Culture10100%+$1.5K

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied the.real.winner

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$19981
Profit
on $99400 staked
698-296
Record
70% win rate
+20%
Return
323 still open
Profit over time994 settled trades
+$20.0K+$0
Aug 17Sep 7
-$3.8K
Max drawdown
19% below peak
5.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.68×
Profit factor
$49.6K won vs $29.6K lost
+6.6 pts
Edge vs implied
70% won at 64¢ avg
Longest losing streak
20
Deepest drawdown
76 trades

By category

sports19 settled+57%
other972 settled+19%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

52 open positions worth $5.1K

The markets the.real.winner is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what the.real.winner is holding

Recent positions

BYU wins
Sep 12, avg 72¢
BUYYES$20+$8
Over 7.5 runs scored
Sep 10, 4 fills, avg 5¢
SELLYES$1Open
Will Texas score over 3.5 runs?
Sep 10, 2 fills, avg 70¢
SELLYES$218Open
See every position across 195 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?
    $12.7K on Yes, Sep 10
    +$15.6K
  2. 2
    Seattle wins
    $1.1K on Yes, Sep 10
    +$5.1K
  3. 3
    Portland vs Austin Winner?
    $524 on No, Aug 30
    +$4.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: Seattle wins?11883%+$19.1K
Chicago C vs Seattle Winner?25455%-$806
New England vs Seattle Pro Football game: New England wins?1038%-$4.2K
Seattle wins17578%+$4.6K
Texas wins936%-$4.6K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 15Sep 12

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$2.3K
Sep 2026+$19.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy the.real.winner on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.