rivomarkets
Kalshi

toniilian

-$773
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Mar 28, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 10, 2026

toniilian is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 39 wins and 122 losses on settled markets, -$773 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 10.

Win rate
24%
Return on settled
-8%
Money traded
$49.3K
Typical trade
$18
Copy score
8/100
Kalshi rank
#3,202

Profit over time

+$891-$1.5K
Mar 29Sep 10

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4417%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢18430%9%-21 pts
40 to 60¢20651%46%-5 pts
60 to 80¢14368%68%+1 pts
Over 80¢2688%100%+12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $725018%-$74
$7 to $182507%-$175
$18 to $3325031%-$84
$33 to $3.5K25042%-$439

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied toniilian

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$107
Profit
on $3500 staked
6-29
Record
17% win rate
-3%
Return
224 still open
Profit over time35 settled trades
+$1.3K-$995
Jun 22Sep 7
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
108% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.96×
Profit factor
$2.8K won vs $2.9K lost
-6.0 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 23¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
15 trades

By category

other35 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

170 open positions worth $7.2K

The markets toniilian is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what toniilian is holding

Recent positions

yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 10, avg 90¢
SELLNO$3.5KOpen
yes Chelsea,yes Arsenal,yes Both Teams To Score,no Estrela Amadora,yes Juventus,yes Inter,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Over 4.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Sep 10, avg 1¢
BUYYES$9-$9
yes Orlando,yes Nashville,yes Vancouver,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 4.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
Sep 10, avg 98¢
SELLNO$958Open
See every position across 505 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Netherlands vs Morocco: To Advance
    $508 on Yes, Jun 30
    +$488
  2. 2
    Arizona vs Los Angeles D Winner?
    $288 on Yes, Mar 29
    +$388
  3. 3
    Miami at Charlotte Winner?
    $662 on Yes, Apr 15
    +$287
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?22100%+$190
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?21100%+$55
America at Santos Laguna: Totals17+$0
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals26+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 13Sep 10

Profit by month

Mar 2026+$496
Apr 2026-$952
May 2026-$845
Jun 2026+$449
Jul 2026-$32
Aug 2026+$346
Sep 2026-$235

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