jarosbill
0x927cf2bb94d15707993f954552e56c74eb6d6633
-$38.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 641
- First Seen
- Aug 14, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 19, 2026
jarosbill is a Polymarket trader with 641 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 308 wins and 258 losses on settled markets, -$38.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Florida State vs. Alabama on Sep 19.
- Win rate
- 54%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $2.2M
- Typical trade
- $2.8K
- Copy score
- 50/100
- Polymarket rank
- #597
Profit over time
+$54.8K-$66.8K
Aug 14Sep 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2314%25%+11 pts
20 to 40¢10531%25%-6 pts
40 to 60¢16849%49%+0 pts
60 to 80¢20469%70%+1 pts
Over 80¢7585%82%-3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $1.2K14451%-$2.1K
$1.2K to $2.8K14449%+$31.1K
$2.8K to $5.3K14456%-$31.5K
$5.3K to $20K14365%+$2.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports48757%-$9.3K
Culture8847%+$9.4K
Side taken
Yes 0%100% No
If you had copied jarosbill
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$795
Profit
on $51500 staked
285-230
Record
55% win rate
-2%
Return
13 still open
+$0-$1.8K
Aug 10Sep 14
-$2.6K
Max drawdown
551% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.97×
Profit factor
$22.2K won vs $23.0K lost
-0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 56¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 133 trades
By category
sports441 settled+1%
culture74 settled-18%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
5 open positions worth $57.2K
The markets jarosbill is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Florida State vs. Alabama
Sep 19, avg 67¢
Florida State vs. Alabama: O/U 60.5
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 52¢
Florida State vs. Alabama
Sep 19, 2 fills, avg 36¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$44.0KArizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals$65.6K on Arizona Diamondbacks, Sep 9
- 2+$38.6KTampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers$6.4K on Texas Rangers, Sep 6
- 3+$30.4KHouston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies$23.7K on Houston Astros, Sep 10
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Houston Astros825%-$42.8K
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals9100%+$44.0K
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels1020%-$27.7K
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres60%-$48.7K
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?4100%+$28.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 22Sep 19
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$37.3K
Sep 2026-$37.3K
How they build positions
Opened a new position85%
Closed a position8%
Added to a position6%
Trimmed a position1%
Similar Polymarket traders
Copy jarosbill's next trade the moment it lands.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.