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Stats as of

plumbis

0x77fbd6bdba89da0ce4ae6e5bee380d6a51de266c

+$5.4K
Tracked Trades
485
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In US elections
100% won · 19 settled · +$17.4K

plumbis is a Polymarket trader with 485 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 100 wins and 18 losses on settled markets, $5.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? on Nov 2.

Win rate
85%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$2.7M
Typical trade
$1.6K
Avg entry
90¢
Polymarket rank
#2,365

Profit over time

+$5.4K-$13.3K
Aug 21Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢928%50%+22 pts
40 to 60¢2451%36%-15 pts
60 to 80¢6972%87%+15 pts
Over 80¢38395%93%-2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$500 to $79012281%+$1.9K
$790 to $1.6K12174%+$497.49
$1.6K to $4.0K12188%+$771.57
$4.1K to $235K12194%+$2.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections120100%+$17.2K
World politics25993%+$9.3K
Fed and rates6713%-$16.5K
Companies9+$0.00
Tech and AI16+$0.00
US politics840%-$4.3K

Side taken

Yes 28%72% No

If you had copied plumbis

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$508.11
Profit
on $3,200.00 staked
26-6
Record
81% win rate
+16%
Return
14 still open
Profit over time32 settled trades
+$521.12-$210.75
Aug 17Nov 2
-$293.29
Max drawdown
355% below peak
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.85×
Profit factor
$1.1K won vs $600.00 lost
+3.4 pts
Edge vs implied
81% won at 78¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
11 trades

By category

politics26 settled+23%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

11 open positions worth $711.4K

The markets plumbis is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what plumbis is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Nov 2
Yes88¢$18.5K+$2.5K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Nov 2, 60 fills
No92¢sold 94¢$353.5KExited
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 2, 4 fills
Yes52¢sold 62¢$2.6K+$2.4K
See every position across 50 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $328.8K on No at 98¢, Sep 18
    +$7.7K
  2. 2
    Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
    $2.1K on No at 30¢, Sep 27
    +$4.9K
  3. 3
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    $4.7K on Yes at 57¢, Sep 5
    +$3.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢60+$0.00
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?98¢143100%+$7.7K
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?93¢18+$0.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?36+$0.00
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?90¢9+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$10.6K
Sep 2026+$12.8K
Oct 2026-$2.6K
Nov 2026+$5.7K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position59%
Added to a position28%
Opened a new position7%
Closed a position6%

Polymarket leaderboards

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