Polymarketjohnny-guitar
0xce2e43c9569432a8ee808e8da88da0cabd474257
+$9.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 30
- First Seen
- Aug 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 17, 2026
johnny-guitar is a Polymarket trader with 30 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 25 wins and 3 losses on settled markets, $9.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Spread: Bills (-2.5) on Sep 17.
- Win rate
- 89%
- Return on settled
- +44%
- Money traded
- $20.6K
- Typical trade
- $730
- Copy score
- 73/100
- Polymarket rank
- #1,022
Profit over time
+$6.8K-$693
Aug 28Sep 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
40 to 60¢254%100%+46 pts
60 to 80¢1868%83%+16 pts
Over 80¢391%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$500 to $5016100%+$1.7K
$511 to $730667%-$86
$1.0K to $1.0K6100%+$2.8K
$1.0K to $2.5K580%+$2.4K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports2387%+$6.8K
Side taken
Yes 4%96% No
If you had copied johnny-guitar
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$638
Profit
on $2300 staked
20-3
Record
87% win rate
+28%
Return
+$638-$136
Aug 24Sep 14
-$200
Max drawdown
313% below peak
3.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.13×
Profit factor
$938 won vs $300 lost
+17.5 pts
Edge vs implied
87% won at 69¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 2
- Deepest drawdown
- 2 trades
By category
sports23 settled+28%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
Sep 17, 4 fills, avg 65¢
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Sep 15, 3 fills, avg 92¢
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
Sep 15, avg 61¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.2KSpread: Bills (-2.5)$6.0K on Bills, Sep 17
- 2+$1.7KSpread: Seahawks (-3.5)$2.0K on Patriots, Sep 10
- 3+$1.6KFalcons vs. Steelers$3.5K on Steelers, Sep 13
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Spread: Bills (-2.5)4100%+$3.2K
Falcons vs. Steelers5100%+$1.6K
Commanders vs. Eagles4100%+$1.4K
Broncos vs. Chiefs3100%+$241
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)2100%+$1.7K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 20Sep 17
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$329
Sep 2026+$6.5K
How they build positions
Opened a new position100%
Similar Polymarket traders
Copy johnny-guitar's next trade the moment it lands.
Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape through your own wallet, alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper autopilot rules.