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Stats as of

Contentious-Dinnerdate

0x736539924a5602b37a03a54fc12c1cc8f98964da

+$20.1K
Tracked Trades
339
First Seen
Aug 21, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Companies
78% won · 40 settled · +$13.7K

Contentious-Dinnerdate is a Polymarket trader with 339 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 138 wins and 44 losses on settled markets, $20.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? on Nov 3.

Win rate
76%
Return on settled
+9%
Money traded
$395.3K
Typical trade
$881.72
Avg entry
60¢
Polymarket rank
#1,291

Profit over time

+$37.6K-$2.0K
Aug 21Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2016%29%+13 pts
20 to 40¢2829%50%+21 pts
40 to 60¢5448%71%+23 pts
60 to 80¢11672%76%+4 pts
Over 80¢12188%85%-3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$503 to $6778588%+$11.6K
$686 to $8828565%-$2.3K
$882 to $1.3K8573%+$10.5K
$1.4K to $6.2K8478%+$337.78

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tech and AI21573%+$2.3K
Companies10678%+$13.7K
Other culture12100%+$3.1K
US elections3100%+$1.3K
Fed and rates1100%+$130.00
World politics1100%+$79.84

Side taken

Yes 79%21% No

If you had copied Contentious-Dinnerdate

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,868.45
Profit
on $7,000.00 staked
58-12
Record
83% win rate
+27%
Return
27 still open
Profit over time70 settled trades
+$1.9K-$36.07
Aug 17Nov 2
-$300.00
Max drawdown
40% below peak
6.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.56×
Profit factor
$3.1K won vs $1.2K lost
+12.9 pts
Edge vs implied
83% won at 70¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
3 trades

By category

culture61 settled+30%
finance6 settled-4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

23 open positions worth $44.1K

The markets Contentious-Dinnerdate is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Contentious-Dinnerdate is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Yes74¢$2.9K+$1.1K
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Nov 3
Yes80¢$800.00+$200.00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
Oct 30, 3 fills
No77¢sold 93¢$1.8K+$542.09
See every position across 102 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
    $14.7K on Yes at 62¢, Oct 29
    +$8.9K
  2. 2
    Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
    $5.0K on No at 45¢, Sep 18
    +$6.2K
  3. 3
    Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
    $5.0K on Yes at 45¢, Sep 3
    +$6.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?66¢230%-$15.6K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?62¢11100%+$8.9K
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?71¢11100%+$3.8K
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?75¢100%-$9.2K
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire?93¢2100%+$866.86

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$8.6K
Sep 2026+$21.0K
Oct 2026-$10.9K
Nov 2026+$1.3K

How they build positions

Trimmed a position74%
Opened a new position13%
Closed a position12%
Added to a position1%

Polymarket leaderboards

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