rivomarkets

Arshbxl

arshbxl

+$21.2K
Tracked Trades
846
First Seen
Feb 8, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 16, 2026
Followers
169

Arshbxl is a Kalshi trader with 846 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 44 wins and 85 losses on settled markets, $21.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting? on Sep 16.

Win rate
34%
Return on settled
+83%
Money traded
$144.2K

Profit over time

+$25.9K-$1.7K
Feb 8Jul 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2528%4%-4 pts
20 to 40¢13428%76%+48 pts
40 to 60¢23548%41%-8 pts
60 to 80¢6064%20%-44 pts
Over 80¢16482%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $721233%-$17
$7 to $2221129%-$16
$23 to $10421130%+$1.1K
$104 to $8.4K21145%+$21.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Politics1+$0

Side taken

Yes 89%11% No

If you had copied Arshbxl

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

2 of 5 needed have resolved. 279 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

34 open positions worth $52.3K

The markets Arshbxl is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Arshbxl is holding

Recent positions

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?
Sep 16, avg 1¢
BUYYES$94Open
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?
Sep 16, avg 13¢
BUYYES$943Open
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Jul 21, 4 fills, avg 26¢
BUYYES$827Open
See every position across 166 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner?
    $2.8K on Yes, Jun 14
    +$9.0K
  2. 2
    Game 3: San Antonio at New York Winner?
    $2.5K on Yes, Jun 9
    +$4.6K
  3. 3
    Game 4: San Antonio at New York Winner?
    $945 on Yes, Jun 11
    +$4.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?33669%+$3.1K
Will both teams score?17+$0
Turkiye vs Paraguay Winner?162+$0
Will England score over 4.5 goals?7+$0
Switzerland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Winner?2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 19Sep 16

Profit by month

Feb 2026-$48
May 2026-$1.6K
Jun 2026+$26.2K
Jul 2026-$1.9K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy Arshbxl on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.