rivomarkets

thetinyman445

+$21.0K
Tracked Trades
998
First Seen
Jun 20, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
13

thetinyman445 is a Kalshi trader with 998 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 49 wins and 28 losses on settled markets, $21.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Northwestern wins on Sep 19.

Win rate
64%
Return on settled
+57%
Money traded
$170.2K
Typical trade
$41
Copy score
52/100
Kalshi rank
#386

Profit over time

+$27.0K-$1.7K
Jul 2Sep 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢17810%50%+40 pts
20 to 40¢7430%0%-30 pts
40 to 60¢19253%30%-23 pts
60 to 80¢16370%71%+1 pts
Over 80¢38690%77%-14 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $924958%-$10
$9 to $4124880%+$1
$42 to $17424853%-$548
$174 to $4.5K24867%+$21.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1867%-$1.1K
Culture567%-$1.2K

Side taken

Yes 44%56% No

If you had copied thetinyman445

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$108
Profit
on $7700 staked
49-28
Record
64% win rate
+1%
Return
537 still open
Profit over time77 settled trades
+$1.1K-$56
Jun 22Sep 14
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
103% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.04×
Profit factor
$2.9K won vs $2.8K lost
-9.1 pts
Edge vs implied
64% won at 73¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
53 trades

By category

other62 settled+2%
sports12 settled-1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

141 open positions worth $97.4K

The markets thetinyman445 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what thetinyman445 is holding

Recent positions

Northwestern wins
Sep 19, avg 58¢
BUYYES$678Open
Indiana scores over 51.5 points
Sep 19, avg 91¢
BUYNO$683Open
Over 57.5 points scored
Sep 19, avg 93¢
BUYNO$930Open
See every position across 198 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXATPGSPREAD-26AUG30SHEGRI-SHE9
    $1.6K on No, Aug 31
    +$25.6K
  2. 2
    Flavio Cobolli wins
    $971 on Yes, Sep 1
    +$732
  3. 3
    Will Brandon Nakashima win the Brandon Nakashima vs Sebastian Baez match by a set score of 3-0?
    $881 on Yes, Aug 31
    +$721
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
What will be LeBron James's next team?127+$0
yes Los Angeles A,yes Over 7.5 runs scored2+$0
Will both teams score in the 2nd Half?26+$0
Will Kansas City score over 7.5 runs?20+$0
France vs England: To Advance4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$340
Aug 2026+$25.1K
Sep 2026-$4.4K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy thetinyman445 on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.