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Stats as of

thebigdon

+$263.8K
Tracked Trades
814
First Seen
Aug 25, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Parlays
79% won · 91 settled · +$213.4K

This trader is a closer

79% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

thebigdon is a Kalshi trader with 814 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 709 wins and 39 losses on settled markets, $263.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Dillon Brooks: 20+ points on Nov 3.

Win rate
95%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$4.4M
Typical trade
$1.7K
Avg entry
92¢
Kalshi rank
#5

Profit over time

+$281.7K-$1.5K
Aug 25Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢609%50%+41 pts
20 to 40¢1828%58%+30 pts
40 to 60¢2951%86%+34 pts
60 to 80¢6572%69%-4 pts
Over 80¢64298%99%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $53520492%+$13.9K
$541 to $1.7K20493%-$3.5K
$1.7K to $5.0K20395%+$91.1K
$5.1K to $120K20399%+$162.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL36696%+$65.0K
NBA19397%-$20.6K
Parlays14579%+$213.4K
WNBA106100%+$6.1K
Baseball4100%+$13.47

Side taken

Yes 69%31% No

If you had copied thebigdon

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$7,468.99
Profit
on $61,900.00 staked
587-32
Record
95% win rate
+12%
Return
Profit over time619 settled trades
+$7.5K+$0.00
Aug 24Nov 2
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
98% below peak
6.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.33×
Profit factor
$10.7K won vs $3.2K lost
+3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
95% won at 91¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
14 trades

By category

sports537 settled+13%
other81 settled+8%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Dillon Brooks: 20+ points
Nov 3, 9 fills
No99¢$2.9K+$28.93
Stephen Curry: 30+ points
Nov 3, 12 fills
Yes99¢$14.6K+$149.58
Devin Booker: 25+ points
Nov 3, 26 fills
Yes99¢$35.3K+$358.68
See every position across 615 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026NL256RVYIOFLGEKP-XL3H53AJ4
    $78.1K on Yes at 65¢, Oct 18
    +$42.6K
  2. 2
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267266D01EBC7-BC9C52CCFF7
    $98.2K on Yes at 75¢, Oct 12
    +$33.1K
  3. 3
    Parlay: Over 3.5 points + Not Michael Penix Jr.: 250+ + Not Austin Hooper: 5+ + Not Bijan Robinson: 40+ + Not Drake London: 120+ + Not Jahan Dotson: 60+ + Not Olamide Zaccheaus: 5+ + Not Devontez Walker: 15+ + Not Justice Hill: 10+ + Not Mark Andrews: 40+ + Not Matt Hibner: 10+ + Not Rashod Bateman: 70+ + Not Zay Flowers: 60+ + Not Derrick Henry: 110+ + Not Justice Hill: 75+
    $78.7K on Yes at 76¢, Oct 12
    +$24.6K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
D'Andre Swift: 40+ rushing yards99¢2100%+$1.3K
no Tyler Shough: 150+,no Chris Olave: 50+,no Alvin Kamara: 40+,no CJ Donaldson: 50+97¢1100%+$3.3K
no Sam Darnold: 300+,no Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 13+88¢1100%+$14.0K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20267266D01EBC7-BC9C52CCFF775¢1100%+$33.1K
Kyren Williams: 1+ touchdowns99¢2100%+$837.78

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$4.1K
Sep 2026+$19.6K
Oct 2026+$256.0K
Nov 2026-$16.0K

Kalshi leaderboards

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