rivomarkets

bold.stoat

+$4.0K
Tracked Trades
1,150
First Seen
Jul 24, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026

bold.stoat is a Kalshi trader with 1,150 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 33 wins and 90 losses on settled markets, $4.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Cleveland,yes Texas,yes Houston,yes Washington,yes Chicago C over 3.5 runs scored,yes Cincinnati over 2.5 runs scored,yes Kansas City over 3.5 runs scored,yes Pittsburgh over 4.5 runs scored,yes Texas over 3.5 runs scored,no Atlanta over 4.5 runs scored,yes Houston over 2.5 runs scored,no St. Louis over 4.5 runs scored,yes Washington over 2.5 runs scored,yes Seattle over 2.5 runs scored on Sep 20.

Win rate
27%
Return on settled
+18%
Money traded
$229.6K
Typical trade
$28
Copy score
20/100
Kalshi rank
#1,263

Profit over time

+$7.3K-$1.7K
Jul 24Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3997%4%-3 pts
20 to 40¢19428%33%+5 pts
40 to 60¢24149%63%+15 pts
60 to 80¢17470%75%+5 pts
Over 80¢13189%45%-44 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $728530%-$3
$7 to $2828535%-$74
$28 to $1622856%-$2.6K
$164 to $22K28438%+$6.9K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports8+$0
Culture20%-$286

Side taken

Yes 75%25% No

If you had copied bold.stoat

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$2551
Profit
on $11500 staked
31-84
Record
27% win rate
-22%
Return
752 still open
Profit over time115 settled trades
+$0-$2.6K
Jul 20Sep 14
-$2.8K
Max drawdown
1217% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.70×
Profit factor
$5.8K won vs $8.4K lost
-0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 27¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
65 trades

By category

other114 settled-21%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

364 open positions worth $62.3K

The markets bold.stoat is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what bold.stoat is holding

Recent positions

yes Cleveland,yes Texas,yes Houston,yes Washington,yes Chicago C over 3.5 runs scored,yes Cincinnati over 2.5 runs scored,yes Kansas City over 3.5 runs scored,yes Pittsburgh over 4.5 runs scored,yes Texas over 3.5 runs scored,no Atlanta over 4.5 runs scored,yes Houston over 2.5 runs scored,no St. Louis over 4.5 runs scored,yes Washington over 2.5 runs scored,yes Seattle over 2.5 runs scored
Sep 20, avg 11¢
BUYYES$164Open
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 20, avg 92¢
SELLNO$2.1KOpen
yes New York M,yes Cleveland,yes Chicago C,yes Pittsburgh,yes Texas,yes Houston,yes Washington,no Cincinnati over 4.5 runs scored,no Kansas City over 4.5 runs scored,no Toronto over 4.5 runs scored,no Atlanta over 4.5 runs scored,no St. Louis over 4.5 runs scored
Sep 19, avg 5¢
BUYYES$108Open
See every position across 464 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Stuttgart,yes Bodoe/Glimt,yes Liverpool,yes Porto,yes Lyon,yes Al Ahli Saudi,yes Al Hilal,yes Galatasaray
    $469 on Yes, Sep 4
    +$5.5K
  2. 2
    yes Dortmund,yes Barbastro,yes Terrassa,no Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Alkmaar,yes Real Sociedad,yes Porto,yes Frosinone,yes Udinese,no Over 3.5 goals scored
    $240 on Yes, Aug 29
    +$2.1K
  3. 3
    yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
    $664 on Yes, Aug 31
    +$2.1K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes AIK,yes Silkeborg,yes Den Haag20%-$45
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points6+$0
yes Hammarby,yes Midtjylland,yes Bodoe/Glimt,yes Eindhoven,yes Feyenoord,yes Doosan Bears,yes LG Twins,yes NC Dinos,yes Kia Tigers,yes Saitama Seibu Lions,yes Hanshin Tigers20%-$51
no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,no Over 2.5 goals scored2+$0
yes Londrina,yes Reg Time: Vasco da Gama,yes Reg Time: Fiorentina,yes Reg Time: Arsenal,yes Reg Time: Brentford,yes Al Ahly (EGY),yes Hibernian2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$449
Aug 2026+$1.4K
Sep 2026+$3.3K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy bold.stoat on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.