fat.steak
+$24.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 439
- First Seen
- Jan 5, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 21, 2026
- Followers
- 106
fat.steak is a Kalshi trader with 439 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 98 wins and 146 losses on settled markets, $24.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored on Sep 21.
- Win rate
- 40%
- Return on settled
- +42%
- Money traded
- $104.5K
- Typical trade
- $48
- Copy score
- 38/100
- Kalshi rank
- #343
Profit over time
+$32.4K-$1.5K
Jan 5Sep 21
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢19112%34%+22 pts
20 to 40¢18128%45%+17 pts
40 to 60¢5949%42%-7 pts
60 to 80¢363%100%+37 pts
Over 80¢587%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $711060%+$330
$7 to $4811043%+$2.1K
$50 to $23811029%+$3.6K
$238 to $15K10934%+$18.9K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Sports838%+$2.2K
Culture20%-$2.0K
Finance10%-$706
Side taken
Yes 95%5% No
If you had copied fat.steak
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$13522
Profit
on $10300 staked
49-54
Record
48% win rate
+131%
Return
55 still open
+$13.6K+$0
Jun 29Sep 21
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
35% below peak
8.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.50×
Profit factor
$18.9K won vs $5.4K lost
+23.8 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 12
- Deepest drawdown
- 19 trades
By category
other92 settled+149%
sports8 settled+17%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
18 open positions worth $9.6K
The markets fat.steak is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
no SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored
Sep 21, avg 17¢
Frances Tiafoe wins
Sep 11, avg 28¢
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored
Sep 11, avg 11¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$20.2KWill the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?$2.5K on Yes, May 10
- 2+$9.6KBen Shelton wins$3.0K on Yes, Sep 8
- 3+$4.6KNathan Anthony Barki wins$1.6K on Yes, Sep 11
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
What will be LeBron James's next team?7+$0
Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Finals?5100%+$20.2K
Frances Tiafoe wins367%-$2.2K
yes New York Y,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 3.5 runs scored350%+$2.4K
Ben Shelton wins1100%+$9.6K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 24Sep 21
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$237
Apr 2026-$594
May 2026+$18.3K
Jun 2026+$4.5K
Jul 2026+$8
Sep 2026+$3.0K
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