rivomarkets

formal.deer

+$2.7K
Tracked Trades
984
First Seen
Aug 20, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 20, 2026
Followers
1

formal.deer is a Kalshi trader with 984 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 192 wins and 211 losses on settled markets, $2.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXWNBA1HWINNER-26SEP20PDXLA-PDX on Sep 20.

Win rate
48%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$70.8K
Typical trade
$17
Copy score
43/100
Kalshi rank
#1,533

Profit over time

+$4.6K-$1.3K
Aug 20Sep 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1757%17%+10 pts
20 to 40¢18932%27%-4 pts
40 to 60¢49249%53%+5 pts
60 to 80¢5768%89%+21 pts
Over 80¢7093%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $524666%+$46
$5 to $1724636%-$292
$17 to $8424637%-$1.2K
$85 to $96924553%+$5.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports1560%+$1.3K
Culture350%-$37

Side taken

Yes 58%42% No

If you had copied formal.deer

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$395
Profit
on $40200 staked
192-210
Record
48% win rate
+1%
Return
281 still open
Profit over time402 settled trades
+$2.8K-$1.8K
Aug 17Sep 14
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
97% below peak
0.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.02×
Profit factor
$21.4K won vs $21.0K lost
+3.2 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 45¢ avg
Longest losing streak
21
Deepest drawdown
214 trades

By category

sports10 settled+17%
other390 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

95 open positions worth $16.5K

The markets formal.deer is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what formal.deer is holding

Recent positions

KXWNBA1HWINNER-26SEP20PDXLA-PDX
Sep 20, avg 44¢
BUYYES$880Open
Las Vegas wins
Sep 20, 2 fills, avg 1¢
SELLNO$11Open
Denver wins
Sep 20, avg 1¢
SELLNO$10Open
See every position across 257 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    St. Louis wins
    $479 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$851
  2. 2
    Real Madrid wins
    $969 on No, Sep 20
    +$825
  3. 3
    KXWNBA1HSPREAD-26SEP19CHIATL-ATL7
    $587 on No, Sep 19
    +$747
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Himeno Sakatsume wins140%-$502
New York Y wins4100%+$801
Frances Tiafoe wins6+$0
Detroit wins6100%+$502
Ben Shelton wins16+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 23Sep 20

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$1.3K
Sep 2026+$5.0K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy formal.deer on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.