rivomarkets

guest.cheese

+$40.4K
Tracked Trades
881
First Seen
Feb 8, 2026
Last Trade
Aug 23, 2026
Followers
30

guest.cheese is a Kalshi trader with 881 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 135 wins and 239 losses on settled markets, $40.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMLBSPREAD-26AUG231615CINAZ-AZ2 on Aug 23.

Win rate
36%
Return on settled
+20%
Money traded
$403.6K
Typical trade
$107
Copy score
27/100
Kalshi rank
#221

Profit over time

+$57.7K-$8.8K
Feb 10Aug 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢15512%17%+5 pts
20 to 40¢39130%43%+12 pts
40 to 60¢30347%34%-13 pts
60 to 80¢1167%50%-17 pts
Over 80¢2194%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1822136%+$1.4K
$18 to $10722032%+$553
$107 to $46022031%-$627
$460 to $12K22044%+$39.1K

Side taken

Yes 82%18% No

If you had copied guest.cheese

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2832
Profit
on $18100 staked
61-120
Record
34% win rate
+16%
Return
79 still open
Profit over time181 settled trades
+$9.0K-$1.9K
Jun 22Aug 17
-$7.9K
Max drawdown
76% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.24×
Profit factor
$14.8K won vs $12.0K lost
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
34% won at 32¢ avg
Longest losing streak
57
Deepest drawdown
122 trades

By category

other181 settled+16%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

23 open positions worth $73.3K

The markets guest.cheese is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what guest.cheese is holding

Recent positions

KXMLBSPREAD-26AUG231615CINAZ-AZ2
Aug 23, 2 fills, avg 39¢
BUYYES$8.9K+$13.9K
yes New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Milwaukee wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs
Aug 18, avg 7¢
BUYYES$2.3K-$2.3K
yes Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Boston wins by over 1.5 runs,no Chicago WS wins by over 1.5 runs,yes San Diego wins by over 1.5 runs
Aug 16, avg 4¢
BUYYES$2-$2
See every position across 252 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs?
    $18.6K on Yes, Aug 4
    +$60.4K
  2. 2
    KXPGATOUR-PGC26-ARAI
    $932 on Yes, May 17
    +$17.0K
  3. 3
    Wyndham Championship: Will Hideki Matsuyama finish top 20?
    $13.5K on Yes, Aug 5
    +$14.7K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs?38100%+$60.4K
Breel Embolo: 1+ goals4+$0
Wyndham Championship: Will Hideki Matsuyama finish top 20?14100%+$14.7K
Kansas City vs Los Angeles A Winner?40%-$11.3K
Will Tie win the 1st Half?31+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

May 26Aug 23

Profit by month

Feb 2026+$532
Mar 2026-$598
May 2026+$7.3K
Jun 2026+$5.7K
Jul 2026-$22.2K
Aug 2026+$49.6K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy guest.cheese on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.