rivomarkets

lukefain

+$40.0K
Tracked Trades
2,090
First Seen
Aug 16, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 15, 2026
Followers
43

lukefain is a Kalshi trader with 2,090 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 48 wins and 74 losses on settled markets, $40.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points on Sep 15.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+130%
Money traded
$68.9K
Typical trade
$5
Copy score
31/100
Kalshi rank
#222

Profit over time

+$40.1K-$95
Aug 16Sep 14

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢19786%5%+0 pts
20 to 40¢1827%0%-26 pts
40 to 60¢247%
60 to 80¢1365%100%+35 pts
Over 80¢7998%93%-5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $25235%-$18
$2 to $552321%-$34
$5 to $1552228%-$151
$15 to $3.7K52278%+$40.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2100%+$320

Side taken

Yes 94%6% No

If you had copied lukefain

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1294
Profit
on $12200 staked
48-74
Record
39% win rate
-11%
Return
53 still open
Profit over time122 settled trades
+$0-$2.8K
Aug 10Sep 14
-$5.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.83×
Profit factor
$6.1K won vs $7.4K lost
+0.6 pts
Edge vs implied
39% won at 39¢ avg
Longest losing streak
30
Deepest drawdown
83 trades

By category

other121 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

20 open positions worth $6.5K

The markets lukefain is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lukefain is holding

Recent positions

yes Arsenal,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 12.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,no Over 15.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 1.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored
Sep 15, avg 68¢
BUYYES$3.2KOpen
Ekaterina Ovcharenko / Laura Pigossi wins
Sep 14, 2 fills, avg 36¢
BUYYES$45-$45
Ben Skowronek: 1+ touchdowns
Sep 13, 2 fills, avg 3¢
BUYYES$19-$19
See every position across 339 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXITFMATCH-26AUG27VILDAR-DAR
    $1.4K on No, Aug 27
    +$21.7K
  2. 2
    KXITFMATCH-26AUG31BRASIM-SIM
    $626 on No, Aug 31
    +$8.3K
  3. 3
    KXITFDOUBLES-26AUG20BAEHAMGIAANT-BAEHAM
    $285 on No, Aug 20
    +$5.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
yes Arsenal,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 12.5 runs,no Over 10.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,no Over 12.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,no Over 11.5 runs scored,no Over 15.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored,yes Over 1.5 runs scored,yes Over 2.5 runs scored3100%+$3.7K
Darja Semenistaja wins1100%+$30
Barcelona vs Vallecano Winner?1100%+$90
Parlay: Notre Dame + Washington1100%+$320
Radka Zelnickova wins2100%+$20

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 18Sep 15

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$36.1K
Sep 2026+$3.9K

Similar Kalshi traders

Copy lukefain on autopilot or by hand.

Everything on this page, live instead of a day late: every position as it opens, one-click copy from the tape, and autopilot that opens the same Kalshi position within seconds through your own API key, inside a per-trade and per-day ceiling you set. Alerts in the app and on Telegram, the simulator on their live record, and paper trading before real money.