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Stats as of

lukefain

+$8.6K
Tracked Trades
2,600
First Seen
Aug 16, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In Tennis
76% won · 46 settled · +$1.2K

lukefain is a Kalshi trader with 2,600 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 85 wins and 96 losses on settled markets, $8.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ARHLVLE7OHEGQZED-TTNWI5UMW on Nov 2.

Win rate
47%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$118.4K
Typical trade
$4.68
Avg entry
66¢
Kalshi rank
#957

Profit over time

+$8.9K-$95.00
Aug 16Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢24536%3%-2 pts
20 to 40¢2226%29%+3 pts
40 to 60¢3454%29%-25 pts
60 to 80¢1666%100%+34 pts
Over 80¢7594%97%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $26508%-$16.03
$2 to $565020%-$35.74
$5 to $1765019%-$158.82
$17 to $10.0K65069%+$8.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tennis201676%+$1.2K
Parlays1088%+$7.4K
Soccer31050%-$30.00
NFL7157%-$142.76
Baseball10522%+$309.97
College football7250%-$62.00

Side taken

Yes 95%5% No

If you had copied lukefain

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$635.75
Profit
on $11,600.00 staked
77-39
Record
66% win rate
-5%
Return
1 still open
Profit over time116 settled trades
+$2.04-$1.0K
Aug 10Nov 2
-$1.9K
Max drawdown
216% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.84×
Profit factor
$3.3K won vs $3.9K lost
+0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
66% won at 66¢ avg
Longest losing streak
13
Deepest drawdown
61 trades

By category

other79 settled-4%
sports36 settled-10%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $2.2K

The markets lukefain is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what lukefain is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Dillon Dingler win the AL Gold Glove for Catcher in the 2026 season?
Nov 2
Yes99¢$98.93+$1.00
Will Christian Walker win the AL Gold Glove for First Baseman in the 2026 season?
Nov 2, 3 fills
Yes99¢$20.80+$0.21
TB Buccaneers D/ST: 1+ touchdowns
Oct 31, 3 fills
No87¢$122.67+$18.33
See every position across 467 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S20261A131DF0417-5E042C7FEDF
    $3.7K on Yes at 63¢, Sep 8
    +$2.2K
  2. 2
    KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026BBD0C32DBDD-7AE115935B0
    $3.7K on Yes at 70¢, Sep 5
    +$1.6K
  3. 3
    yes Minnesota,yes Iowa St.,yes Washington St.,yes Illinois St.,yes Wisconsin,yes Tarleton St.,yes Notre Dame,yes North Dakota St.,yes Arizona,yes UMass,yes Missouri,yes Georgia,yes Utah,yes Memphis,yes Texas
    $3.2K on Yes at 68¢, Sep 15
    +$1.5K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Parlay: Troy + Northwestern + Ohio St. + Notre Dame98¢1100%+$245.39
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265AF958DFD44-AC43173ABC497¢1100%+$266.38
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S2026BBD0C32DBDD-7AE115935B070¢1100%+$1.6K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-SHARD1-S20261A131DF0417-5E042C7FEDF63¢1100%+$2.2K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202680BEA804564-7A4EEDB4CA372¢1100%+$1.3K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$892.68
Sep 2026+$7.4K
Oct 2026+$282.25
Nov 2026+$1.21

Kalshi leaderboards

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